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#1
05-23-2006, 03:42 AM
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5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
Haven't seen villain before. He's like 22/7/x after about 30 hands. Preflop is meh, I decided to take a flop.
I lead with my overcard + gutshot. He probably has an overpair of some sort, but I have outs + I can bluff the flush. His turnbet is very weak. Sure he could have made the flush, but... Standard shove? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Button ($985) SB ($1309) Hero ($1000) UTG ($902) MP ($1014) CO ($478.30) Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $30</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero calls $20. Flop: ($65) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $45</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $125</font>, Hero calls $80. Turn: ($315) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $125</font>, Hero calls $845 (All-In) 
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#3
05-23-2006, 07:07 AM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
Would you really just instapush with the flush on the turn?
A raise to $400 is just as scary as a push, and then you can FOLD if he pushes because no you don't have outs.
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#4
05-23-2006, 07:18 AM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
[ QUOTE ]
\ A raise to $400 is just as scary as a push, and then you can FOLD if he pushes because no you don't have outs. [/ QUOTE ] Do you think an opponent in general would lay down a set here? (My thinking is he calls >65% When this is the play you're check folding river?
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#5
05-23-2006, 07:20 AM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] \ A raise to $400 is just as scary as a push, and then you can FOLD if he pushes because no you don't have outs. [/ QUOTE ] Do you think an opponent in general would lay down a set here? (My thinking is he calls >65% When this is the play you're check folding river? [/ QUOTE ] bluffing sets is -ev.
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#6
05-23-2006, 07:24 AM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
Belphegor: a set isnt folding anyway
Pethie: the title of your post says a lot. If you have a flush you dont want him to lay it down, so he probably doesnt think you'd play it that fast. He will still lay down a lot of pairs though. Since he is so tight I'm not sure if het folds enough to make your play profitable. A lot depende on your image as well.
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#7
05-23-2006, 07:26 AM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] \ A raise to $400 is just as scary as a push, and then you can FOLD if he pushes because no you don't have outs. [/ QUOTE ] Do you think an opponent in general would lay down a set here? (My thinking is he calls >65% When this is the play you're check folding river? [/ QUOTE ] He probably won't fold a set to either bet. The question is whether the 2x as big allin raise is 2x as likely to make him fold, and I don't think it is. Besides, now you can allin bluff push a diamond river as well as your miracle straight out.
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#9
05-23-2006, 12:38 PM
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Re: 5/10: I have the flush! Lay it down.
Yea you're probably right. His bet looked so weak that I couldnt get the slider to the right fast enough.
I would hate to raise to ~450 and fold to his push with two black kings or something. He doesn't have a full stack. He thought for a while and called with QdQx. The river was a beautiful black 4 and MHIG [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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