Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Micro Stakes
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:18 PM
ShipitFMA ShipitFMA is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Getting my c-bets minraised
Posts: 2,486
Default 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

Villians stats don't really matter, im just looking for whether I have the correct odd's to call. What is the actual math process do I go through when calculating whether this call is +EV


Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $64
MP: $6.65
CO: $32.70
Hero (BTN): $63.65
SB: $29.25
BB: $58.25

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, SB folds, BB calls $2.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, BB calls $4.50

Turn: ($16.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $24</font>, Hero?????
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:20 PM
SnffnMrkrz SnffnMrkrz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 63
Default Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

Count your outs, I doubt an ace is good, so we have 9 outs. With the Four by Two rule, we have around 18-20% equity.

There's 24 + 11 + 4.5 + 4.5 + .5 +.5 + 3 + .25 + 3 = 51.25, and we have to call 13. 13:51 = 1:4 = 20%. So we do have odds to call if we think he's gonna stack off on the river.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:23 PM
LT22 LT22 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Making Vids
Posts: 352
Default Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

deleted, you don't want help
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:23 PM
MaltbyStu MaltbyStu is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Cary, NC
Posts: 611
Default Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

52 in the pot 13 to call. Pot odds are 4/1. You need 4/1 to break even.
If you hit and get money in on the river it is +EV
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:25 PM
ShipitFMA ShipitFMA is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Getting my c-bets minraised
Posts: 2,486
Default Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

we're calling 13 into 50, so getting 3.84:1. Presuming the 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] aren't clean outs we have 7 outs that means we hit a heart 1 out of 6.5 times, correct?

But factoring in his remaining stack on the river its fine yeah?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-29-2007, 10:26 PM
SnffnMrkrz SnffnMrkrz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 63
Default Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?

[ QUOTE ]
we're calling 13 into 50, so getting 3.84:1. Presuming the 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] aren't clean outs we have 7 outs that means we hit a heart 1 out of 6.5 times, correct?

But factoring in his remaining stack on the river its fine yeah?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd count the board-pairing hearts as 1/2 outs because we can't be absolutely certain he has a set. So even with 8 outs we're getting close to enough odds to call if we get paid off decently well on the river (we should if he has a big hand)
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:59 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.