NFL Week 9 player props thread

[silentbob]

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+16 1/2 NFC (-115) SuperBowl line

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Is this worth maxing simply for the middle possibilities?

[prodonkey]

I'd wait till after this weekend for that one.. if the Pats win they are going to be huge fav's to go to the superbowl and win and might not have a big middle opportunity as they are gonna be laying a lot of points vs any NFC team, unless they happen to improve dramatically in the 2nd half of the season.

[Daliman]

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Yeah, max bet is $500. Get it while you can. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

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Already there [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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(NE vs IND) Sun, Nov 4th (4:15pm)
Will Mike Vrabel score a Touchdown?

Must play for action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. No Parlays. Max $500 (This Prop is Closed for Betting) [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[MCS]

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Randy Moss under 1.5 touchdowns scored at -110 for 2 units (VIP/BetGameDay). ... I'd say the chances of two or more are 25 to 30 percent at best.

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If this is actually true, shouldn't you be betting more than 2 units? I love that prop too.



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Joseph Addai -2 fantasy points vs. Laurence Maroney at -135 for 1 unit (Bodog).

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What's Bodog's scoring for fantasy props? I'm guessing

10 yards rush/rec per point, 20 yards passing
6 for a rushing/rec TD, 4 for passing TD
no PPR
no fumble penalty
no fractional points
total yardage rounded down (e.g., 37 yards receiving and 49 rushing would first be added to get 86, then rounded to 80, yielding 8 points)

How close am I?

[mogwai316]

This is for Bodog:

[silentbob]

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If this is actually true [about the Moss bet], shouldn't you be betting more than 2 units?

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In theory, yes. But I am too risk-averse to Kelly given that this is only my second season betting NFL props. Plus I am still relatively inexperienced betting sports generally. Glad that you like the pick, though.

[n2p]

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Yeah, max bet is $500. Get it while you can. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

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Already there [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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(NE vs IND) Sun, Nov 4th (4:15pm)
Will Mike Vrabel score a Touchdown?

Must play for action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. No Parlays. Max $500 (This Prop is Closed for Betting) [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

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I know sportsbook.com isnt too respected, but they have this at -340.

[Porkchop Express]

Any love for Anthony Gonzalez over 2 1/2 catches (even) on Bodog?

[silentbob]

I would stay away from any prop bet on the Colts receivers until we find out if Marvin Harrison is playing.

And even if Harrison is out, Gonzalez is probably Peyton's 4th option at best (Wayne, Clark, Addai).

[bylanta]

i like the gonzo bet, and line is moving