TP2K facing river blocker from TAG

[Xanta]

Dropped down for a game revamp, is this a spot I can look for thin value?

Villain is 21.2/15/2.6 with a fold to CBet of 40% over a couple hundred hands. I'm playing with him on a couple table and have taken a few small-medium pots in a row off of him.

Party Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $198.96
UTG: $100
Hero (MP): $127.50
CO: $67.28
BTN: $109.63
SB: $16.74

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4</font>, 3 folds, BB calls $3

Flop: ($8.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6</font>, BB calls $6

Turn: ($20.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $13</font>, BB calls $13

River: ($46.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $22</font>

[SnglMaltScotch]

Umm call.

If it is a blocking bet as you suspect, he is folding to a raise. You don't beat much. Does he call a raise with QT or JT. I doubt it.

SMS

[fitnessfreak]

with a fold to flop bet % of 40 you can certainly be looking for thin river value. if he had checked i would have fired about 32. as played river is an easy call, raising is a little too thin for my tastes.

[DaycareInferno]

his river bet is very confusing to me considering his stats and likely range. so, i guess i just have to go with top pair at 3:1+ and make the call. a blocking bet there with 99- seems pretty stupid to me though.

[Xanta]

Given his line and the board texture and the fact that he's not a drooler, he like never has a monster here correct?

Also, does your play change at all if you have AT? (considering that's a significant part of his range)

[fitnessfreak]

[ QUOTE ]
Given his line and the board texture and the fact that he's not a drooler, he like never has a monster here correct?

Also, does your play change at all if you have AT? (considering that's a significant part of his range)

[/ QUOTE ]

1) yes

2) its closer but i still probably just call, especially since i consider JJ and QQ to make up part of his range also. i think JJ would be my minimum hand to raise the river with.

[DaycareInferno]

pretty rare to see a 21/16 type slowplay a set for 2 streets oop.

[Nick Royale]

Min-raise. This is a worse Tx sooo often. He might even call the min-raise with worse than Tx, 99/88 comes to mind. Fold to a push obv. He won't push like ever though. If he does it's a FH.

[Some9]

[ QUOTE ]
Min-raise. This is a worse Tx sooo often.

[/ QUOTE ]

true but also AT is possible. I think it's really thin. Just barely +EV imo but certainly sexy.

[HoldEmNewby]

Is betting this turn standard for everyone?

*ignore i misread the board