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  #1  
Old 09-23-2007, 04:46 PM
hra146 hra146 is offline
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Default NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

Okay, so after my recent results Im feeling quite confident about my game. However, Ive done some stats research today and out of all stat screenshots Ive seen mine is the most unusual. Extremely high WT$SD and winnings from the BB, but see yourself.

Please note, this is NOT a thinly veiled brag. Im rushing through the limits right now on a rather short bankroll. If Ive only been running sick hot in the past I need to know now before I drop my entire roll again at limits Im not skilled for.


I made it a link. I dont know how I can make smaller pictures when taking screenshots on my huge monitor. (Now THATS a thinly veiled brag [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] )

Running sick hot?

edit: these are 280 stars turbo HU games.

10% 6s
60% 11s
10% 22s
15% 33s
5% 55s


all comments appreciated.
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  #2  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:12 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

really, results don't matter so much. i mean, ok, after like 1000 games they do, but look back at your hands and see if your were making good decisions. that's all that matters. so if you won a hand where you were 3bet pf by a tightie and you held ATs, then that was probably not a good decision. applying stove to hands and seeing if you were making good decisions against ranges (given pot size) and so forth is more important imho.

anyways, you will run like crap soon enough. don't worry it will happen, if you push your edge. i can show you stretches i've had over 150 games (maybe more) where nothing worked. AA < 33 ai pf, etc., and on and on like it would never end.
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  #3  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:16 PM
cwar cwar is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

Whats your total weighted ROI (can be found at the bottom of all the ROIs on the front page).
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Old 09-23-2007, 05:18 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

interesting your PF AF is about 2. Mine is 7.8 Either yours is low or mine is high.
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  #5  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:19 PM
hra146 hra146 is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

[ QUOTE ]
Whats your total weighted ROI (can be found at the bottom of all the ROIs on the front page).

[/ QUOTE ]

I never imported the summaries into PT. Tourny manager says:

13.5% ROI
60.8% ITM
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  #6  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:24 PM
cwar cwar is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

13% ROI is not sick hot with a lot of those games at micros, it is a very good winrate however, certainly sustainable.
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  #7  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:26 PM
hra146 hra146 is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

[ QUOTE ]
13% ROI is not sick hot with a lot of those games at micros, it is a very good winrate however, certainly sustainable.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, but understand, thats exactly my concern. If I had a 2x% ROI Id _KNOW_ that Im running hot. Like this I only have surreal stats but a normal winrate.
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  #8  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:26 PM
cwar cwar is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

[ QUOTE ]
interesting your PF AF is about 2. Mine is 7.8 Either yours is low or mine is high.

[/ QUOTE ]
Maybe neither, depends on the games you play in, if people wont attack your limps limping a lot can be a very good strategy, if they do you generally have to play raise or fold.
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  #9  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:28 PM
hra146 hra146 is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
interesting your PF AF is about 2. Mine is 7.8 Either yours is low or mine is high.

[/ QUOTE ]
Maybe neither, depends on the games you play in, if people wont attack your limps limping a lot can be a very good strategy, if they do you generally have to play raise or fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, attacking limps pretty much doesnt happen at the 33s and below.
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  #10  
Old 09-23-2007, 05:28 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Default Re: NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup

i don't open limp. maybe i need to reduce my salt/raw meat intake.
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