3/6 river decision

d2themfi · #1 08-10-2007, 06:18 AM

The villain here is pretty much unknown to me. I have him at 27/12/1.6 but only over 80 hands. comments on the whole hand please

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (3 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB ($603)
Hero ($595.45)
Button ($934.20)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
Button raises to $21, SB calls $18, Hero calls $15.

Flop: ($63) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $45, Button folds, SB calls $45.

Turn: ($153) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $100, SB calls $100.

River: ($353) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $168, Hero calls $168.

Final Pot: $689

fees · #2 08-10-2007, 06:28 AM

i mean with those donkish stats and his donkish line and ur pot odds how is this close

fringsrache · #3 08-10-2007, 07:16 AM

i highly doubt this guy is bettin a worse hand on the river.

VPIP100 · #4 08-10-2007, 07:20 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i highly doubt this guy is bettin a worse hand on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yentz · #5 08-10-2007, 07:24 AM

I often check the turn behind here, is that leaving value versus someone like him?

The river is close, you get great odds but I really dont see
much you beat here.

fees · #6 08-10-2007, 07:39 AM

i mean.. ur saying he has 56?

Yentz · #7 08-10-2007, 08:02 AM

well it is a problem that every straightdraw either got there or made trips, I dont see any busted draws for him to bluff.

If we are calling, we need him to make it to the river and make a blockbet/bluff with something like 87,89,66,77 or even 4x or 2x around 25% of the time. Great odds, but I really doubt we are good that often.