silentbob's Week 10 player props thread

[silentbob]

Nothing up on Bodog yet, but I have already made one bet on BetGameDay:

Deshaun Foster under 71.5 rushing yards at -110 for 1 unit. Deangelo Williams is back and will probably take at least several carries away. Foster has struggled in the last few games. TB isn't great against the run but adequate enough. The only reason why I didn't bet 2 units is because the Bucs stink on offense and the Panthers may have the ball for quite a bit.

More to come on Sunday.

YTD: 15-4-1, +11.28 units

[silentbob]

Sorry, I was out having brunch with friends and left before Bodog put up their props but got back too late for the 1:00 games. There are three additional props that I'm betting for the later games:

Tony Romo under 22 pass completions at -150 for 1 unit. Wish I could've gotten this for -120 but my guess is that others have been pounding the under. Dallas has passed out of necessity in their past couple of games, but they won't need to against Arizona. I suspect the Cardinals will see a healthy dose of Julius Jones and Marion Barber once the Cowboys jump to a healthy lead.

Anquan Boldin under 5 receptions at -125 for 1 unit. During the time Larry Fitzgerald was out, Boldin had one 12 reception game but only 4 in each of the others. Now that Fitzgerald is back, Boldin will probably get fewer looks.

Rex Grossman under 228.5 passing yards at -120 for 2 units. Three main factors in play. It's gonna rain heavily tonight. The Giants have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. Berrian (Chicago's only deep threat) is unlikely to play. Did I mention it's gonna rain? There will be lots of running tonight.

Good luck to all.

[thing85]

Thanks for the great picks on Romo and Boldin. Let's go for a perfect 3-0 with Rex Grossman tonight.

[silentbob]

Blech. Sorry about Grossman. It all seemed fine in the first half until the Giants couldn't stop Thomas Jones on 3rd and 22, then Grossman passed for 60 more yards in the final minute. I also thought Chicago would stop passing after Hester returned the missed FG, stupid play action.

Oh well.

This week: 2-1, -0.53 units
YTD: 17-5-1, +10.75 units

[silentbob]

Still kinda annoyed about Grossman's final pass yesterday. At least Deshaun Foster sucked as expected. Should've gone with my instincts and doubled up on that one!

This week: 3-1, +0.38 units
YTD: 18-5-1, +11.66 units

[thing85]

Where did you post about a Foster prop pick? Just want to make sure I didn't miss it somewhere.

[silentbob]

I'm guessing that you have messages filtered out if they're beyond a certain number of days old? The original post in this thread is from last Thursday (books such as BetGameDay make the SNF/MNF props available earlier in the week than Bodog).

[thing85]

Doh, you're right. I see it; I just missed it. Thanks.