#1
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AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
villain here is 23/13/3 but despite these stats is a poor player.
his fold to cbet is <40% and my reads on him are that he 3 bets light, pulls a lot of moves and is generally just a pretty poor player. Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BTN: $65.65 SB: $58.40 Hero (BB): $53.50 UTG: $134.55 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) UTG folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1.75</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.50</font>, BTN calls $3.75 Flop: ($11.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $8</font>, BTN calls $8 Turn: ($27.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) I think this turn is the crux point - he looks people up light on the flop obv and puts moves on people so i think if i check this turn to him he is likely to bet a very large part of his range - obv i am scared of ak but how many other likely holdings could he have? the FD is v unlikely - is he calling a 3 bet with 910 or aj? hes a bad player but he is a tight player nonetheless and i think all these are very small parts of his range. also once we crai he may well call with a bare Ks or make a desperation call which means we extract even more when we are ahead. i think its dead close - what you think? |
#2
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
PF: Make your 3bet a bit bigger. $6,5 - $7 will do. Flop is standard.
We check the turn, to allow him to take a stab at the pot. By doing this, we give him the opportunity to bluff, since he expects us to cbet that flop about 100% of the time. If the players is as you describe him, Ill happily c/rai on that turn, and expect him to call with KsXx |
#3
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
[ QUOTE ]
he looks people up light on the flop obv and puts moves on people so i think if i check this turn to him he is likely to bet a very large part of his range [/ QUOTE ] if that's your read, crai and get looked up by a random spade. but later in your post you say he's a bad/tight player. which is it? |
#4
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
I don't like preflop against the guy you described. He looks people up light and he pulls a lot of moves and we have a hand that can't take much heat postflop. As played you can c/r, but it's the worst card in the deck for you to do it on. So you can lead again and fold to a raise, except he's gonna fold most of his hands that we beat. I'd prob just c/f and get pissed.
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#5
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
I think that turn card sucks D. TBH im prob c/f. Hes not THAT insane, and if u let him push you out here u can catch him later even lighter
ditto on bigger raise PF, only cuz ur oop |
#6
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
[ QUOTE ]
I think that turn card sucks D. TBH im prob c/f. Hes not THAT insane, and if u let him push you out here u can catch him later even lighter ditto on bigger raise PF, only cuz ur oop [/ QUOTE ] I was thinking along the same lines and was amazed when every1 said c/r... Every hand got there! what do we beat? for every hand you find that villain could have that you beat you can find 2 that you donīt |
#7
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
everyone didn't say it, just two of us. the point of my post though was to try and examine bishop's read on the guy (which is anything concrete from the OP), rather than give any solid advice.
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#8
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
looks like you are ahead of AT and 99.
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#9
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
im really thinkin we could bet small and fold to a raise. or we can c/c and bet a non spade river.
actually i would prolly would c/f this turn and then wait for a better spot cause as played we got nothing really |
#10
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Re: AQ vs floater in 3 bet pot
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] he looks people up light on the flop obv and puts moves on people so i think if i check this turn to him he is likely to bet a very large part of his range [/ QUOTE ] if that's your read, crai and get looked up by a random spade. but later in your post you say he's a bad/tight player. which is it? [/ QUOTE ] hes a tight player who often pulls unorthodox moves - his fold ot cbet <40% shows this to be true (reasonable datamined sample) - many of his plays are often bad - i dont think these things are mutually exclusive myself but maybe ive grasped the wrong end of the stick? |
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