Sunday Baseball - Ari (Hernandez) V. Col (Fogg)

[NhlNut]

Ari(L. Hernandez) V. Col(J. Fogg)
I like the Under 10(-115).

Both starters have been good against the other team this year.
Hernandez - 5 starts, 35 ip: 1.54 era, 1.34 whip
Fogg - 4 starts, 24ip: 2.63 era, 1.50 whip [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

This year, only 5 of 20 games between Ari/Col have gone over 10.

Weather tonight in Col is in the 40's and rainy.

[centris]

I am on, more 1st innning Ks COL -125. Neither Hernandez nor Fogg strike many people out, but Fogg has more than Hernandez (94K/745PA v 90K/913PA) and the top of ARI lineup strikes out a ton. My simulations say the the true line is -155ish if ARI goes Young/Drew/Byrnes/Jackson/Reynolds, it gets even better if they go Young/Drew/Clark/Reynolds (which they did in game 2). you can get it at 5dimes.

[centris]

C. Young has a strike out -175 (my estimate is -198)
ARI first homerun -110 (my estimate is -126)

also at 5dimes

[Parlay Slow]

thanks for posting the props centris

[murphstahoe]

Colorado is -143 at WSEX, I could not resist.

[centris]

[ QUOTE ]
more 1st innning Ks COL -125.
ARI first homerun -110 (my estimate is -126)


[/ QUOTE ]

That went poorly.

[NhlNut]

[ QUOTE ]

I like the Under 10(-115).


[/ QUOTE ]

[centris]

Because my picks went so well last night, here is what I gotz:

ARI 1st inning Ks thrown +145 (my simulations +127)
Drew no strikeout +130 (+120)

I had some for BOS/CLE but it has started.