nh. now fold your set? NL25

[tdx]

Party Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

CO: $77.32 <font color="blue">Villain is 44/2.4/3.9(!) over 166 hands </font>
BTN: $24.40
SB: $66.43
BB: $52.80
UTG: $62.42
Hero (MP): $27.43

Pre-Flop: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, CO calls $1, 3 folds

Flop: ($2.35) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, CO calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.35) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $6</font>, Hero calls $3
<font color="blue">I mostly called in hopes of completing FH </font>

River: ($17.35) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $68.82 and is All-In</font>, Hero folds

Results: $17.35 Pot
CO mucked and WON $85.31 (+$76.81 NET)

[boogie6]

Great check on river.. but.. I can't write it with calmness.. YOU MUST CALL!

[DonkeyOnTilt]

I call here. 3.9 guys could easily just have an ace here.

[Profish2285]

This guy is hyper aggro considering how often he is involved in pots. I call here and feel good about it.

[tdx]

So you guys are really calling your whole stack off here. Guess I'm weak then.

[matrix]

whats villain river aggression #?

Have you seen him overbet push before?

We only have a PSBish left and pot is offering 2:1 - going by posted stats - call.

IF villain is aggro preflop flop and turn and lots less aggro on teh river - then I start thinking about folding.

We are crushing 44/22/77 a bunch of 2pair hands - bluffs with KQhx he is a *little* less likely to have a fd as the Ace is on board he has the straight a few times as well.

On top of that you checked the river - aggro people with busted hands quite often see that as weakness and just make a big bet - I'd say we have the best hand here more than 1/3 times.

All in all it's a thin call - but still a call I think.

[ama0330]

[ QUOTE ]
So you guys are really calling your whole stack off here. Guess I'm weak then.

[/ QUOTE ]

Firstly you should bet more on the flop and turn. You want to get max value from your hand. As for the river, to be honest with you his range is so evenly distributed between the nuts and a bluff that the situation is 0EV in my opinion. Folding is absolutely fine, and so is calling. You have to make a reads based decision here.

[crushednuts]

He could EASILY be bluffing here and there is a ton of money in the pot after he pushes because you only have 20 remaining. I think you are getting offered big enough odds even if he never pushes w/ a worse MADE hand (like 44 or 77, which he probably would do as well given his aggro). The combination of a possible bluff and a worse made hand make this call a must.