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  #1  
Old 11-27-2007, 11:51 PM
betonit betonit is offline
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Default NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

Fade The Columbus Blue Jackets On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....43-13-3 Since 2000-2001 (.767)
Fade The Chicago Blackhawks On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....30-13-8 Since 2000-2001 (.700)
-------------------------------------
Fade The Calgary Flames On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....38-18-5 Since 2000-2001 (.679)
Play The Detroit Wings On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....37-19-6 Since 2000-2001 (.661)
Fade The Phoenix Coyotes On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....39-21-4 Since 2000-2001 (.650)
Fade The Los Angeles Kings On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....37-21-2 Since 2000-2001 (.637)
Fade The Nashville Predators On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....34-21-4 Since 2000-2001 (.618)
Fade The Minnesota Wild On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....36-23-9 Since 2000-2001 (.611)
Fade The Anaheim Ducks On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....36-24-6 Since 2000-2001 (.600)
Play The Dallas Stars On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....33-25-5 Since 2000-2001 (.569)
Total Record: 363-198-52 (.647)
------------------------------------
Fade The St. Louis Blues On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....27-24-4 Since 2000-2001 (.530)
Fade The Edmonton Oilers On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip.....32-29-4 Since 2000-2001 (.524)
Play The Vancouver Canucks On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....35-32-2 Since 2000-2001 (.522)
Play The San Jose Sharks On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....24-25-3 Since 2000-2001 (.521)
Fade The Colorado Avalanche On The Final Game Of A 2+ Game Road Trip....35-33-4 Since 2000-2001 (.514)
Total Record: 183-143-17 (.562)
-------------------------------------
Complete System Record: 575-352-69 (.622) ~As of 11/27/07

Plays for October (14-4 : 77.78%)
Oct. 6 -ANA @ PIT 5-4 PIT
Oct. 10 -EDM @ MIN 2-0 MIN
Oct. 10 -SJ @ CHI 2-1 SJ
Oct. 11 -PHX @ NSH 6-3 PHX
Oct. 16 -CGY @ COL 5-4 COL (SO)
Oct. 17 -DAL @ CMB 3-2 DAL (SO)
Oct. 19 -LA @ VAN 4-2 LA
Oct. 20 -DET @ PHX 5-2 DET
Oct. 20 -EDM @ CGY 4-1 CGY
Oct. 21 -COL @ MIN 3-1 MIN
Oct. 23 -ANA @ STL 4-2 STL
Oct. 23 -NSH @ LA 6-0 LA
Oct. 26 -COL @ CGY 3-2 COL (OT)
Oct. 26 -VAN @ WAS 3-2 VAN
Oct. 27 -DAL @ PHX 5-3 DAL
Oct. 28 -EDM @ ANA 3-2 EDM (SO)
Oct. 28 -MIN @ COL 3-1 COL
Oct. 29 -SJ @ DAL 4-2 SJ

Plays For November (15-7 : 68.18%)
Nov. 1 -CMB @ ANA 2-1 ANA
Nov. 1 -DET @ CGY 4-1 DET
Nov. 2 -PHX @ DAL 5-0 PHX
Nov. 3 -CHI @ STL 3-2 CHI
Nov. 5 -CGY @ COL 4-1 COL
Nov. 7 -NSH @ DET 3-2 DET
Nov. 8 -VAN @ CGY 3-2 VAN
Nov. 10-CMB @ NSH 4-3 NSH
Nov. 10-DAL @ LA 6-5 LA
Nov. 12-PHX @ SJ 5-0 SJ
Nov. 13-DET @ STL 4-3 STL
Nov. 14-EDM @ VAN 1-0 EDM
Nov. 15-SJ @ PHX 6-0 SJ
Nov. 16-MIN @ VAN 6-2 VAN
Nov. 18-CGY @ VAN 4-1 VAN
Nov. 21-ANA @ DAL 2-1 DAL
Nov. 22-COL @ EDM 3-2 COL
Nov. 23-VAN @ STL 3-1 STL
Nov. 24-DET @ CMB CMB 3-2 OT
Nov. 25-CHI @ VAN 2-0 VAN
Nov. 27-CGY @ DET 5-3 DET
Nov. 28-LA @ SJ
Nov. 30-ANA @ EDM


(Plays For December)
Dec. 1- CMB @ CGY
Dec. 1- COL @ LA
Dec. 3- EDM @ LA
Dec. 3- DAL @ CMB
Dec. 3- PHX @ PIT
Dec. 4- NSH @ TOR
Dec. 6- VAN @ NSH
Dec. 7 - SJ @ PHX
Dec. 9 - STL @ COL
Dec. 10- ANA @ CMB
Dec. 13- COL @ NSH
Dec. 13- EDM @ DET
Dec. 13- LA @ DAL
Dec. 15- MIN @ LA
Dec. 15- VAN @ EDM
Dec. 18- CAL @ CMB
Dec. 19- NSH @ CHI
Dec. 19- COL @ ANA
Dec. 20- PHX @ SJ
Dec. 21- DAL @ CGY
Dec. 22- LA @ NSH
Dec. 23- VAN @ COL
Dec. 27- MIN @ PHX
Dec. 29- DET @ PHX
Dec. 29- NSH @ CHI
Dec.30- ANA @ VAN
Dec.31- SJ @ MIN
Dec.31- STL @ DET
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  #2  
Old 11-28-2007, 12:54 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

Data mining,

I have data mining just one data mining question.

Where'd all data mining the other data mining teams go?

Data,

Mining
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  #3  
Old 11-28-2007, 01:18 AM
betonit betonit is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

?
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  #4  
Old 11-28-2007, 01:26 AM
Mediocre_Player Mediocre_Player is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

It's scary.

Toews and Kane in 2000-2001 were playing pee wee hockey. Now they're tearing the [censored] of the league as teenage rookies for the Blackhawks.

Maybe there's a spell cast over the Blackhawks jersey that causes you to suck at the end of a road trip?
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  #5  
Old 11-28-2007, 02:53 AM
ata ata is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

Sorry I'm retarded - what is the diff between fade and play?
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  #6  
Old 11-28-2007, 05:22 AM
grando grando is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry I'm retarded - what is the diff between fade and play?

[/ QUOTE ]

fade is the opposite of play
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  #7  
Old 11-28-2007, 10:59 AM
Rustjive Rustjive is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

Wish we had units for those #s you posted - could be that % was built into the moneylines already.
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  #8  
Old 11-28-2007, 12:40 PM
Falker11 Falker11 is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

[ QUOTE ]
Wish we had units for those #s you posted - could be that % was built into the moneylines already.

[/ QUOTE ]

Right for instance, take tonight's game where the system suggests fading LA. That would mean playing SJ at -220 (best line at covers). The break even win rate at -220 is about 67%. The data from the system suggests that fading LA is about a 63.7% chance of winning. That makes tonight a no play on SJ. Your would need to find SJ at about -175 to break even.

However what if we look at the other side, playing LA at +185 (bodog). Then we need to win about 35% of the time to break even. LA should win this game 100 - 63.7 = 36.3% of the time according to the data mined. That means LA at +185 could be profitable.

Does this analysis make sense, I'm pretty new to sports betting.

-Falker
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  #9  
Old 11-28-2007, 01:27 PM
MrFeelNothin MrFeelNothin is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

It would make sense except you are analyzing a system that is flawed- it is finding patterns in past results and assuming these random patterns will continue.

Is there any logical reason why the Dallas Stars would perform better than expected on the 3rd game of a road trip while the LA Kings would perform worse than expected.........year after year, regardless of their roster? No, so as is the case with most systems, it is flawed.

But you do have a good point, most of these "plays" are on a home team against a team on a long road trip in which case the home team is usually going to be favored, sometimes at long odds.
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  #10  
Old 11-28-2007, 06:26 PM
Falker11 Falker11 is offline
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Default Re: NHL Road Team System November 27th to January 1st

LA up to +210, f the system 1u on LA
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