($27) River bet sizing with runner runner boat

[taipan168]

Opp seemed like a reasonably solid player, stats were something like 20/15 up to this point. How much do you bet on the river? Opp has 3000 behind.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB (t1635) - sitting out
Hero (t7190)
Button (t4675)

Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t200.

Flop: (t900) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: (t900) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t600</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t1200</font>, Hero calls t600.

River: (t3300) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets ????</font>

[Jibba]

I'd bet about half the pot, which works out to about half his stack. I expect to chop though.

[PokahPokah]

im not sure here, u could either try to make it look like a bluff with a big bet but risk loosing him or a value bet which is suspicious....meh

[TheMayor]

In that spot i think you are only getting called if it's a chop or he has 88....

The only way to get any additional chips into the pot from a hand worse than yours is to check and hope he's donkish enough to bluff if he missed a flush draw or somethin. If you bet and he calls it's a chop anyway so check/check is the same result.

[Little John]

most of the time if you bet and want villian to call with worse, he needs to have an 8 or 99-KK. hard to believe 99-KK would check behind on the flop. an 8 does not seem like a card to button min raise with, but he did play the turn consistent with an 8.

it is also hard to believe villian will bluff the river given the action.

i think i bet 1/3 pot and hope he calls with K high or an 8.