|
View Poll Results: AKs | |||
Yes | 8 | 50.00% | |
No | 8 | 50.00% | |
Voters: 16. You may not vote on this poll |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#31
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Flop decision: what now??
[ QUOTE ]
To answer the followup question: Since we already put villains on a hand range with equities, this is just a simple math problem now. Here were my ranges: Hand 0: 48.143% 46.41% 01.73% 528079 19687.00 { Ad7d } Hand 1: 17.337% 16.88% 00.46% 192044 5215.00 { JJ+ } Hand 2: 34.519% 32.79% 01.73% 373068 19687.00 { TT-44, 87s, 65s, 54s, 87o, 65o, 54o } If CO calls, the pot will be roughly $315. Our expected value here is .46(315) = $144 If CO folds, the pot will be roughly $229 and it's 2-ways. We'll have to rerun pokerstove to see our new equity: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 50.599% 49.24% 01.36% 10236 283.50 { Ad7d } Hand 1: 49.401% 48.04% 01.36% 9987 283.50 { JJ+ } Here we have around 50.5% equity, so .505(229) = $115 Looks like it's better if CO calls. [/ QUOTE ] I think his range is wider than JJ+, I'd include 99 and TT as well, maybe 77 and 88, not sure if he raises those or plays it the same. I'm pretty sure he just looks at it and says OMG i have overpair SHOVEEEEEEEEEEEEEE. |
#32
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Flop decision: what now??
If one only calls with sets and the other only calls with 87 our equity is still ~27%. If their ranges are 66-44, and 87, we have ~33% equity.
I think their ranges are bigger than this, so I want CO to tag along. |
|
|