GPSTS conference 11/10/07 at Harvard Law School: My Thesis

[MiltonFriedman]

Skill: Having her for breakfast in the morning

[xsizzurpx]

Luck definitely plays a huge role in everyone's life but I think individuals have some control over how much, i guess in poker terms variance, there is in there life. Lets take the bar example. If you go out to a bar 10 nights and every time you are there you try to pick up the 10 lets say that you are successful 1 night. Your twin who is like you in every way goes to the same bar 10 nights but instead of trying to hook up with the 10 goes for a 7 and bags one 4 of the nights. Who is luckier? How much did each person's actions affect this luck who had the better outcome. I think these are all things that need to be thought about if we are trying to measure luck.

[budblown]

[ QUOTE ]
Luck definitely plays a huge role in everyone's life but I think individuals have some control over how much, i guess in poker terms variance, there is in there life. Lets take the bar example. If you go out to a bar 10 nights and every time you are there you try to pick up the 10 lets say that you are successful 1 night. Your twin who is like you in every way goes to the same bar 10 nights but instead of trying to hook up with the 10 goes for a 7 and bags one 4 of the nights. Who is luckier? How much did each person's actions affect this luck who had the better outcome. I think these are all things that need to be thought about if we are trying to measure luck.

[/ QUOTE ]

How drunk was I the night I got the 10? On the other nights did I bag a 7 or a 3? Or did I go home alone?

Here's an interesting scenario. Me and my identical twin walk into a bar - everything about us is identical from looks to personality to likes and dislikes - I approach the 10 and talk to her, she digs me. Then my twin walks over and talks to her and she digs him, but she doesn't know we are twins. I then walk up and she has to choose between us. She has to take one of us home, but who? Whoever she picks is luckier at that moment right?

These random bar scenarios are making me thirsty.