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$100nl: The Two Nines Times
I'm short into the session. Haven't won a big pot yet. Lost one medium sized pot vs. a short stack all-in on a bad beat. If anyone is paying attention I am playing tag.
Villain is quite tight so far, but again over a very small sample. Most people like this at $100nl seem to be reasonable and straightforward. However, they might do things like make loose calls OOP every once in a while; with trouble hands, suited connectors, etc. Does anyone do anything differently after the flop reraise? Then how about the turn? --- $0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem 6 players Converted at weaktight.com Stacks: UTG (<font color="#0000cc">$160.00</font>) UTG+1 (<font color="#0000cc">$107.70</font>) Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$103.10</font>) BTN (<font color="#0000cc">$85.05</font>) SB (<font color="#0000cc">$149.80</font>) BB (<font color="#0000cc">$86.05</font>) Pre-flop: ($1.5, 6 players) Hero is CO 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#777777">2 folds</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#777777">1 fold</font>, SB calls $3, <font color="#777777">1 fold</font> Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($8, 2 players) SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $24</font>, Hero calls $18 Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($56, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">SB goes all-in $122.3</font>, Hero ??? --- On the flop, I figure he's doing this with most of the time w/ his drawing hands. This is a flop that missed me most of the time, so it's a good place to semi-bluff. I DON'T think he'd be doing it with quads or a full house. He would also reraise with most of his one pair hands, and most trips. So, how's this for a range? JJ-88. 98s, 78s, 55 (there to represent 55 and below), 65, AhJh, AhTh, KhQh, KhJh, 5h4h. I would define this as his non-bluffing range. That gives the following pokerstove calculation: Board: 6h 7h 6d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 52.173% 50.79% 01.39% 18100 494.50 { 9c9s } Hand 1: 47.827% 46.44% 01.39% 16551 494.50 { JJ-88, 55, AhJh, AhTh, KhQh, KhJh, 98s, 87s, 6c5c, 5h4h } Odds on the flop are call $18 to win $56; 32% equity needed for break-even. Question 1) How often is he bluffing, and what is my equity vs. his bluffing range? On the turn, we call $75.60 for $207.20. 36.5% equity needed for break-even. Question 2) How does his range change on the turn? |
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