NL10 - letting go of overpairs

[volition]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 ($12.02)
CO ($2.14)
Hero ($15.11)
SB ($1.78)
BB ($13.03)
UTG ($5.33)
UTG+1 ($2.20)
MP1 ($2.71)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.4</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.40, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($0.95) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $0.8</font>, Hero calls $0.80.

Turn: ($2.55) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $2</font>, Hero...

Villain is 18/13.6/1 over 110 hands. The hand just before this, I had just taken this same guy for a fairly big amount when I got a straight to beat his trip aces(he had AA, hit an A on the flop but didn't bet strongly enough), so he was probably still steaming a little over that too.

Anyway, I'm just curious as to when I should let my overpair go here. Should I have 3bet him PF here?

[MyTurn2Raise]

push turn....UTG doesn't have much left

you noted that he bet low with trips...his range includes alot that you beat here. I got you at 40/60 but a push meets that I believe.

[bottomset]

don't fold overpairs at nl10

[Specialwon]

[ QUOTE ]
push turn....UTG doesn't have much left

you noted that he bet low with trips...his range includes alot that you beat here. I got you at 40/60 but a push meets that I believe.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hmm, I'm not sure I agree about his range, what do we beat? Overcards, AT, maybe a mid-pair. That's about it with an 13 pfr, no? I don't make these cards 40% of his range because this guy only really plays AT this way, although the tilt factor maybe would make him reckless. This looks really marginal to me, I think we have next to no fold equity here and so I think I would only call or shove based on the possibility of him tilting, otherwise I think this is a fold.

[Specialwon]

[ QUOTE ]
don't fold overpairs at nl10

[/ QUOTE ]

We do have a read, admittedly only 110 hands

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
don't fold overpairs at nl10

[/ QUOTE ]

We do have a read, admittedly only 110 hands

[/ QUOTE ]

nothing in the read would lead to me folding here for 55bb

[subzero]

Villain is short, possibly steaming, and this is NL10. Push the turn.

[Sounded Simple]

I think this is a fold.

Villans preflop range (UTG) is 22+, AT+ or so.
Flop bet doesnt mean much but is this guy c-betting much?
Turn bet I think means we are behind because -
- Look at his agression factor, looks nitty/passive
- He isnt betting enough to push you out here
- He may be tilting from the last hand but he may also think you are a callstation.
From the turn bet I think you can rule out all the small/med pairs that have not made sets and the overcards.

The river bet confirms this line, does a passive postflop player fire 3 barrels with anything less than TPTK?

That leaves one hand from his entire range that you beat - AT.