*** OFFICIAL 10/08/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (DAL @ BUF)***

[LogistX]

[ QUOTE ]
I can't see how you can take the Bills here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Vegas is more than willing to take the Bills at +110 here. This means that they believe that Buffalo covers at least 47.6% of the time:
x = % bills cover
(x)(110) - (1-x)(100) = 0
x=.47619

Vegas linemakers are pretty good so I see no reason to believe this number to be way off. If anything, the line is already shaded against the Boys. I think it's highly unlikely that if the Bills cover the game goes over (despite what ZoRo says) so there still might be value here...

Also, if you believe the line would be only -15 @Dal, you should take Buf+10. Usually the difference between two teams playing at home city vs. another is 6. So, Dal-16 would be the line if they played at home. Buffalo is a tough city to play in so the Dallas home line might even be -16.5!

[agencia1]

i like dallas. but +10 is too much for me.
id def be in at +7 or less so
im going to have to think about this one.
seems like one thing is for sure.
the ex-dallas qb (i think) garrett once princeton grad
is doing some v nice play calling for the offensive unit.
the pats bengals at +7 was much better value.

[NoChance]

I will be on Buffalo here. They will find a way to keep this close.

[LogistX]

I really think Buffalo has more motivation in this game. Buffalo last hosted MNF 12 years ago. I think that they play their hearts out while Dallas knows they have a relatively easy win against this pathetic team. I'm on Buffalo +10 and in a separate bet I parlayed Buffalo with under 45.

[zOrO2k6]

i will wait till the line move to +11.5 or so,.. "If" i lose 50% of my BSP picks on Sunday, i will put 10 Units on Bufalo +11 Monday Night.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
I will be on Buffalo here. They will find a way to keep this close.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, I see the +11 and am hoping for even more. Esp if Indy and NE roll TB and Cle.

[paperchamp]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I will be on Buffalo here. They will find a way to keep this close.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, I see the +11 and am hoping for even more. Esp if Indy and NE roll TB and Cle.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well it happened. Would love to see the MNF line climb some more now.

[kassdog]

I'm surprised with most people not taking the over. I mean dallas this year has been scoring amazing and I feel that they can score at least 30 if not more. And then everyone is saying the bills will keep this close and that will kill the o/u at 45. Anyone agree.

[Gambler]

If this was a Sunday at 1 pm game, Dallas might come out flat. I dont see it happening tonight.

38-13 Dallas.

[Jazzy3113]

1 unit on dallas -9.5 or combine dallas and the over in a 6 pt teaser?