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#1
11-30-2007, 06:02 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
How long do you expect to keep being able to play with him when you take shots at him like this? Or how long he'll stay liquid if he is a big enough idiot to not recognize these errors? [/ QUOTE ] I've never received a wrong line from a bookie but a few years ago he did make several mistakes with time changes. If it was a constant problem I'd worry about his liquidly but it was twice in the same year but the only two errors in over a decade so not a major concern. I was going to bet both games anyway and missed the time changes myself till I saw the score scroll by. I did increase by bet but not enough that had he noticed it wouldn't have been a major issue. I would have just claimed I missed the time change. Bowman's had a wrong line and with them I had no issues taking advantage of the mistake. I couldn't get much money on it unfortunately but they did honour the bet. 
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#2
11-30-2007, 06:05 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
Henry,
Interesting. From what I gather the OP is a probably a losing sports bettor and brings in other squares. In this case I'd probably take a shot at the line 100% or if I have other outs that were easy to use. (Also, given that he's made another error that was caught by our not totally razor sharp friend makes me wonder about the quality of the bookie) If I planned on staying for a long time, I'd probably go through some elaborate ruse and show him that I don't want to cheat him out of his money.
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#3
11-30-2007, 06:35 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
If you went from $100 to $5k he'd know you were trying to cheat him but if you just bet your normal amount or within your normal range then I don't think he could say anything.
The problem with using a bookie is that it takes a long time to find one that is good. Someone who is small and making these kind of errors is not going to be around for a long time.
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#4
11-30-2007, 07:14 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
Henry, Interesting. From what I gather the OP is a probably a losing sports bettor and brings in other squares. In this case I'd probably take a shot at the line 100% or if I have other outs that were easy to use. (Also, given that he's made another error that was caught by our not totally razor sharp friend makes me wonder about the quality of the bookie) If I planned on staying for a long time, I'd probably go through some elaborate ruse and show him that I don't want to cheat him out of his money. [/ QUOTE ] Actually, lifetime I'm a slight winner over 11 years (mostly due to 3 big winning years, but I have more leaks than the Titantic). This is easily my worst year though. My basic pattern over the last few years has been the same -- I'll have a good September, as I put in the work and effort to succeed. Then in October the screws start to come loose. I start feeling a little cocky and then I get lazy, sloppy, and occasionally wreckless. I eventually get back to fundamentals, but then I'm gun shy (i.e. like not hammering Arizona +12.5 vs oregon after the line started plummetting despite the vast majority of the public continuing to bet the Ducks) after enduring the rough patch , and then suffer intermittent bouts of tilt mostly due to not capitalizing on +EV situations. I need to start disciplining myself to not make any plays when I don't put in the work. And you are correct, I brought in his most profitable square.
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#6
11-30-2007, 07:31 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
Carl, did I misunderstand your OP? Didn't THIS bookie find a bad line from another bookie, bet it, and then inform him of the bad line? You can't go wrong, or even offend him if you did the same here. In fact, he'd respect you less if you didn't.
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#7
11-30-2007, 07:36 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
Carl, did I misunderstand your OP? Didn't THIS bookie find a bad line from another bookie, bet it, and then inform him of the bad line? You can't go wrong, or even offend him if you did the same here. In fact, he'd respect you less if you didn't. [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that's exactly what he did. Which tells me he thinks it's acceptable. I think I'm just going to place the bet then tell him he might want to look at that total because it looks a little high. If he cancels the bet, so be it.
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#8
11-30-2007, 07:31 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
Apparently I'm clueless. The vast majority of my plays I've made this year I've had better lines than anywhere available online.
I've basically had 2 horrible weeks this year, 0-8 and 2-7, that have put me in the red for the season (I could try to go 0 - 8 every week the rest of my life and not be able to duplicate that result, lol). The sick thing about that is that in 14 out of the 17 bets, I was getting a line .5 - 2 points better than anywhere I could find online (the other 3 were widely available online).
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#9
11-30-2007, 07:37 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
Carl, don't pay attention to Thremp. He's just a pimply teenager with a big e-penis.
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#10
11-30-2007, 07:44 PM
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Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
Apparently I'm clueless. The vast majority of my plays I've made this year I've had better lines than anywhere available online. I've basically had 2 horrible weeks this year, 0-8 and 2-7, that have put me in the red for the season (I could try to go 0 - 8 every week the rest of my life and not be able to duplicate that result, lol). The sick thing about that is that in 14 out of the 17 bets, I was getting a line .5 - 2 points better than anywhere I could find online (the other 3 were widely available online). [/ QUOTE ] This is what worries me somewhat. Its incredibly easy to beat a guy like this.
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