value bet river?

[numbnuts007]

efficacy and I were sweating each other earlier, by the way, that was my first sweating session and I highly recommend it. Anyway, a couple hands came up that were worthy for your review and here is one of them.

Villian is 33.5/16.5/1.2 and goes to show down 38.5% over about 200 hands.

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, 2 folds, BB calls.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4.5SB, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3.25BB, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5.25BB, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero...

edited so that the final pot size doesn't give anything away.

[Realyn]

obvious check? i see 0 value in betting. the only logical hands are 22-55 ...
a6 of clubs &gt; no way with that passive line
ace high&gt; dont think so with 38 wts
22-55&gt; yes, very rare. but imho the chance is higher for a 7.

no way im betting this

[MacGuyV]

I check

[NinaWilliams]

I check. It would be a different story if your kicker played.

[rzk]

38.5 wtsd is meaningless after 200 hands.

i think it's closer than the previous posters think. he can call (correctly imo) with A high since we could just be barrelling away with JT or AJ or something.

[Realyn]

i think a turn call from bb with a2 would be very very bad

[midnightpulp]

[ QUOTE ]
I check. It would be a different story if your kicker played.

[/ QUOTE ]

[BryanC]

My first thought was easy check since the 7 pairing on the river reduces the number of second best hands he will call with, but I also think that the board pairing makes him more likely to showdown ace high too coupled with the fact that he's less likely to actually have a 7 after he checks I can see a case for betting this

[Oink]

[ QUOTE ]
i think a turn call from bb with a2 would be very very bad

[/ QUOTE ]

Then your CO open - 2nd barrel range isnt wide enough.

I am with rzk.

This guy doesnt have Kx. You chop with other Qx. 7x looks likely unfortunately. I think its close. You will get looked up by Ax and lower pp's

BTW Numbnuts. Moving up limits? If so, GL!

[inferno]

villian could call here with a pp, my first thought was to bet but im not sure. a [censored] it im just betting this river