#9
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Re: Set facing action on the turn
The flop donk is terrible. You've got to figure he's going to raise here w/ any good ace and knock out the field. You've got a set, there are no flush or open ended str8 draws on the board. If anyone has AA or QQ you're going to lose a lot of chips. Button would have reraised. UTG might, and you'll have to eat if if he does. Point is you want to extract as much money as possible. So check the flop and raise or call dependent on the action. Probably raise. I might call if everyone folded to UTG+2's bet, or if we only got one caller, or if UTG+2 checks and the bet comes from late position, or if it was bet by UTG+2 and raised in mid position. I want everybody in, and I'm only calling to raise the turn.
As played, I don't know if button is loose enough to call KT preflop there. UTG+2 likes his hand enough to just call the flop and wait for the turn. Cap it. You'll probably get two calls. As for the river, I wouldn't fold. Even if the heart draw hit or the board paired up top, the only read we have is aggressive, so I'd have to ride it out, even if the action got heavy. I'd lead, no matter the card. |
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