AQo - Trips at Turn against Flush probability

eiseC · #1 03-31-2007, 03:49 AM

PokerStars 10 NL Hold'em (5 handed) HandRecorder

Stacks & Stats
MP ($17.70)
BU ($4.80)
SB ($7)
BB ($10.30)
Hero ($10)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
1 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BB calls $0.30.

Flop: ($0.85) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, BB calls $0.60.

Turn: ($2.05) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.45, BB calls $1.45.

River: ($4.95) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.35, BB calls $2.35.

Final Pot: $9.65.

Can i valuebet the river here?`I think that's my main leak, that i don't know if i can bet the river for value ...

wdead · #2 03-31-2007, 03:52 AM

yea though u can bet a little more on the river. nh

bagclip2007 · #3 03-31-2007, 04:07 AM

well played hand, he called with a king, if he raises or leads river u call the lead fold to a c/r nh

Sir Winalot · #4 03-31-2007, 04:15 AM

I think value-bettig is fine, maybe bet slightly more. Like 3-3.5, but no biggie. I think worse Q's are calling here all day, maybe some higher K's too. And villain is highly unlikely to have the backdoor flush.

monkover · #5 03-31-2007, 05:39 AM

Yeah your vbet is fine here. It´s very unlikely you´ll see a flush here. Hero is not in the co though just wanted to have said that...

BobboFitos · #6 03-31-2007, 07:18 AM

definately. its bdoor flush, you shouldnt worry about it. bet more on every street, really.