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#21
11-27-2007, 08:22 PM
 willw9 Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: where momma keeps the peanut butter Posts: 4,235
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Yea I'm wrong. I analyzed net change in my calculations, so the \$41.75 should be \$28.75.

-\$3.23 - .355(41.75-28.75) = -\$7.845

-\$8.64 - .452(13) = -\$14.516.

If we weight both assumptions accurately, I'd say the EV is somewhere around -\$11.

We were about to fold the turn and I said "wanna do something stupid?" Thought it was a little better than it was though.

FWIW he tanked and called with KK.
#22
11-27-2007, 09:09 PM
 Student Caine Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 791
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Sorry to hijack...

I tried to PM you earlier Tufat, but your PM's are full. Please shoot me a PM when you get a chance.

Thanks.
#23
11-27-2007, 09:31 PM
 fees Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Whats my motivation? LOLOLOLOLOLOL Posts: 4,162
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

this math isnt right, well the range isn't. This spot is more simple intuition, you are overthinking it
#24
11-27-2007, 09:42 PM
 BGnight Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Trippy avatar, dude Posts: 3,484
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

[ QUOTE ]
Doing that now and it's not looking good lol.

Calling range becomes 1.7%, or 54.8% of turn betting range.

EV = .452(41.75) + .548(.125(66.95) + .875(-66.95))

EV = -\$8.64

[/ QUOTE ]

Can I not have a clue what I'm looking at and still be a successful NLHE player?
#25
11-27-2007, 11:16 PM
 Barrin6 Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: 100k hands 5ptbb+ nl1/2 b4 nl2/4 Posts: 3,732
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

willw9,
I don't know who's coaching you willw9, but whatever you do. If it's not somewhere along the lines of firing him, then you might have to consider this
#26
11-27-2007, 11:21 PM
 willw9 Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: where momma keeps the peanut butter Posts: 4,235
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

lol thanks barrin
#27
11-27-2007, 11:22 PM
 ajmargarine Senior Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: one decision Posts: 12,050
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Yeah Will, I think we've already talked about you using 2p2 to get your name out there as a coach. And don't even tell me that's not what's happening here.

And Barrin, that's just dumb, c'mon.

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