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Old 11-28-2007, 12:16 PM
Makonnen Makonnen is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 226
Default Re: NL 100 - Overpair KK against bad TAG - He donks me

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.665% 49.83% 01.84% 12826 472.50 { KdKs }
Hand 1: 48.335% 46.50% 01.84% 11969 472.50 { QQ+, AdKd, AQs, AdJd, AdTd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd, AQo }</pre><hr />
If you think he would do this with JJ (which I think is at least possible), you go up to 59%. If you think that he really only does this with AQ, QQ+ or two diamonds in that range, you go down to 49%. In any case, there's enough in the pot to make the coin flip +EV long term. Any raise commits you to the hand, so I think that I would rai sometimes and call/shove any non d, non A turn sometimes.
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