2/4 River Decision

cooter_mullet · #1 10-16-2007, 04:38 AM

Villian is 17/14/6 over 1200 hands. i havent played cash in a few months (stats are old), so no real reads at the moment other than he is relatively aggro and seems solid.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($410.70)
BB ($486.20)
UTG ($594.60)
Hero ($394)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $16, Hero calls $16, 2 folds.

Flop: ($38) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $32, Hero calls $32.

Turn: ($102) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $75, UTG calls $75.

River: ($252) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $292, Hero ?

DeucesNeverLoses · #2 10-16-2007, 04:44 AM

I don't think I can fold this at a 4 handed game. Not to mention his AF is 6. Looks like he's trying to push you off a flush, not value town a boat imo. I think you see Js here a lot, or a tilted two pair like AQ.

fwiw, if I were villain and rivered a boat, I would either A) block bet like $55 into you hoping for a raise or B) CRAI

DanJ. · #3 10-16-2007, 04:47 AM

I think this is a fold, 55/88/AA/QQ/A8/Q8s are all easy for villain to have, also its kind of weird for him to c/c turn and then bluff river. Like its just a weird line to take for a bluff, and im not sure if hes valuebetting the Js like this.

chromerims · #4 10-16-2007, 04:58 AM

I agree on fold I mean people just don't bluff big representing a boat and a boat only. Smells like valuetown to me.

higHstaKesOwneR · #5 10-16-2007, 06:45 AM

nobody raises the flop here? oO

hm river sucks... i don't see him c/c the turn just to buff the river if it pairs
fold it and save your moneys

DanJ. · #6 10-16-2007, 06:53 AM

[ QUOTE ]
nobody raises the flop here? oO

hm river sucks... i don't see him c/c the turn just to buff the river if it pairs
fold it and save your moneys

[/ QUOTE ]

ya sometimes i raise the flop.