NL25 - AQs OTB vs 40/20 in BB

[yellowbluebus]

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $12.20
BB: $20.00
Hero (UTG): $32.25
BTN: $16.30

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is 40/21 over 60 hands. Is it better to bet this turn or check it and call the river bet?</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $1.00</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($3) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.10</font>, SB folds, BB calls $2.10

Turn: ($7.20) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($7.20) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $3.50</font>, Hero folds

Pot Size: $10.70 ($0.35 Rake)

[Capone]

I really don't even like a river call. I like the way you played it you took your stab, and then didnt continue and over-value AQ just because its AQ.

[tms]

If you do cbet this flop, bet closer to 3/4 pot. I'm not always cbetting this flop multiway unless I know both villians like to give up easily. After you get called, shut down. Why call a river bet?

[meleader2]

[ QUOTE ]
If you do cbet this flop, bet closer to 3/4 pot. I'm not always cbetting this flop multiway unless I know both villians like to give up easily. After you get called, shut down. Why call a river bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

so you want him to bet .15c more? i don't think that matters. whatever villain has, he isn't folding, even if it is KQ here. i SOMETIMES call this river. it depends on how i feel about timing tells/previous showdowns.

[Capone]

really meleader you could find a call?

[meleader2]

[ QUOTE ]
really meleader you could find a call?

[/ QUOTE ]

well, we're lacking some info from OP, mainly PFA. but aside from that, while it's razor close, a raise is better than a call.

[yellowbluebus]

FWIW, his aggression numbers: 1/1/2.5/2