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#11
11-23-2007, 12:06 AM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] before 2007 i've never taken a favorite that was giving more than 14 points almost out of principle. Now I've bet on NE every week but I just can't do it this week. FFS Philly has to keep this game closer than 22 points, umm right? [/ QUOTE ] +1 [/ QUOTE ] Tell me why. I'm liking NE, 22 or not. It's like McNabb doesn't have a team to play with. NE is one of the most dominant teams in a long time, I have full faith they can win by 30. [/ QUOTE ] Mostly because Philly could backdoor cover 21 if Brady comes out early. CIN, CLE, and MIA all covered 21 vs the Pats. Philly is better than CIN and MIA. 2 other games(NYJ and SD) NE won by "only" 24. If the line was -19, I would be on it. I am on the over(50) though for 2u. NE is averaging 41 pts per game. Their game O/U has gone over 50 7 out of 10 games this year. The 3 that didn't were 45, 44 and 47. 
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#12
11-23-2007, 12:02 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
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CIN, CLE, and MIA all covered 21 vs the Pats. [/ QUOTE ] The Pats back-door covered against Clev as Clev was down 10 and driving with a minute left...fumble rec for TD screwed everyone that wasn't lucky enough to jump on Clev at 17. Cinci and Miami were road games. I like Philly at 24, not less than that. I may take the Pats if the line holds under 23 through Sunday. - C -
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#14
11-23-2007, 01:03 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
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Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo. [/ QUOTE ] So if I bet against the Pats and they don't cover, I deserved it? Thanks.
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#15
11-23-2007, 01:42 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying. I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it. Good luck though.
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#16
11-23-2007, 02:04 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
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Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying. [/ QUOTE ] lol but what you're really saying is [ QUOTE ] I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it. [/ QUOTE ]
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#17
11-23-2007, 02:53 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
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Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo. [/ QUOTE ] Pats -24.5 is 3-7 this year, so thanks for the well thought out advice. - C -
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#18
11-23-2007, 03:26 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
the only reason i can imagine betting against pats is that sports books know that everyone jumps on every pats line so if they can put up a line they wont cover they get a huge day
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#19
11-23-2007, 03:27 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
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Bet against them and see how that works out for you. Thats all Im saying. I just cant understand how any sane person watching the NFL this year could do it. Good luck though. [/ QUOTE ] Is it a lock? Are you betting the NWE total?
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#20
11-23-2007, 04:16 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***
At the beginig of the week I took the birds +22; I couldn't see how anyone wouldn't. The line is now +24; with the moneyline at 25 to 1. I'm throwing 1/10u on the birds moneyline, too.
Do the Eagles really have less than a 5% chance of winning? They are both pro teams, right?
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