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#21
07-16-2007, 02:34 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Paul Actually has a much higher chance of winning then most people realize. The polling methods used in the polls that report him at 1-3% are very flawed. [/ QUOTE ] Care to elaborate? [/ QUOTE ] I read an article the other day that explained how the polling works. Basically the only people that get called are registered republicans that have voted consistantly (not missed an election) for awhile. Also they only call LAND LINES. Do you see how this might cut alot of Ron Paul's base out of the equation? I will search for the link. Hopefully I will be able to find it. [/ QUOTE ] Ron Paul's "base" consists of about 0.5% of the American public. Even if they aren't being polled, they aren't going to perceptibly influence his numbers. I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] I will put up $100 against you. We can find an escrow. Winner gets accured intrest also. 
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#22
07-16-2007, 02:37 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Paul Actually has a much higher chance of winning then most people realize. The polling methods used in the polls that report him at 1-3% are very flawed. [/ QUOTE ] Care to elaborate? [/ QUOTE ] I read an article the other day that explained how the polling works. Basically the only people that get called are registered republicans that have voted consistantly (not missed an election) for awhile. Also they only call LAND LINES. Do you see how this might cut alot of Ron Paul's base out of the equation? I will search for the link. Hopefully I will be able to find it. [/ QUOTE ] Ron Paul's "base" consists of about 0.5% of the American public. Even if they aren't being polled, they aren't going to perceptibly influence his numbers. I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] I will put up $100 against you. We can find an escrow. Winner gets accured intrest also. [/ QUOTE ] Well, I am willing to accept this bet, but I am not willing to put $10K in escrow for a year.
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#23
07-16-2007, 02:38 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Paul Actually has a much higher chance of winning then most people realize. The polling methods used in the polls that report him at 1-3% are very flawed. [/ QUOTE ] Care to elaborate? [/ QUOTE ] I read an article the other day that explained how the polling works. Basically the only people that get called are registered republicans that have voted consistantly (not missed an election) for awhile. Also they only call LAND LINES. Do you see how this might cut alot of Ron Paul's base out of the equation? I will search for the link. Hopefully I will be able to find it. [/ QUOTE ] Ron Paul's "base" consists of about 0.5% of the American public. Even if they aren't being polled, they aren't going to perceptibly influence his numbers. I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] I will put up $100 against you. We can find an escrow. Winner gets accured intrest also. [/ QUOTE ] Well, I am willing to accept this bet, but I am not willing to put $10K in escrow for a year. [/ QUOTE ] So you really are not willing to accept it? And just decided to run your mouth earlier? Why wouldnt you escrow where winner gets accured intrest?
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#24
07-16-2007, 02:46 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] I will put up $100 against you. We can find an escrow. Winner gets accured intrest also. [/ QUOTE ] Well, I am willing to accept this bet, but I am not willing to put $10K in escrow for a year. [/ QUOTE ] So you really are not willing to accept it? And just decided to run your mouth earlier? Why wouldnt you escrow where winner gets accured intrest? [/ QUOTE ] Becuase I would have to move money out of funds that earn much better than whatever the escrow account interest rate is for only a 1% return on my investment. I'm not going to make a bet that causes me to lose money even if I win just to prove a point on an internet forum.
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#26
07-16-2007, 02:56 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Of course the media is biased and favors the frontrunners [/ QUOTE ] At this point it's not just frontrunners --- it's anyone who has a chance in hell. Paul doesn't. [/ QUOTE ] The sportsbooks seem to disagree with you. I've seen him anywhere from 15-1 to 7-1 against. My wife mentioned seeing 5-1 against, but I haven't been able to find that. sportsbook.com has him at 15-1. http://www.sportsbook.com/sportsbook/livelines.php
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#27
07-16-2007, 03:03 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Paul Actually has a much higher chance of winning then most people realize. The polling methods used in the polls that report him at 1-3% are very flawed. [/ QUOTE ] Care to elaborate? [/ QUOTE ] I read an article the other day that explained how the polling works. Basically the only people that get called are registered republicans that have voted consistantly (not missed an election) for awhile. Also they only call LAND LINES. Do you see how this might cut alot of Ron Paul's base out of the equation? I will search for the link. Hopefully I will be able to find it. [/ QUOTE ] Ron Paul's "base" consists of about 0.5% of the American public. Even if they aren't being polled, they aren't going to perceptibly influence his numbers. I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] Hmm, how much action do you want?
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#28
07-16-2007, 03:04 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
Ok. So what would be acceptable terms for you? [/ QUOTE ] Tell you what, since you offered to put money up and I am certain enough that Paul is not going to win that I will give you $100 if he is nominated. You don't have to wager anything. But I'm not backing it up with anything other than my forum reputation. No, I won't make this offer to anyone else.
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#29
07-16-2007, 03:04 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Paul Actually has a much higher chance of winning then most people realize. The polling methods used in the polls that report him at 1-3% are very flawed. [/ QUOTE ] Care to elaborate? [/ QUOTE ] I read an article the other day that explained how the polling works. Basically the only people that get called are registered republicans that have voted consistantly (not missed an election) for awhile. Also they only call LAND LINES. Do you see how this might cut alot of Ron Paul's base out of the equation? I will search for the link. Hopefully I will be able to find it. [/ QUOTE ] Ron Paul's "base" consists of about 0.5% of the American public. Even if they aren't being polled, they aren't going to perceptibly influence his numbers. I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] Hmm, how much action do you want? [/ QUOTE ] hes already shown that he is not really willing to bet. Just running his mouth.
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#30
07-16-2007, 03:07 PM
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Re: Why doesn\'t Ron Paul speak the truth re: the bias against him
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I assure you that Paul's chances of being nominated are less than 1 in 100, and I would happily accept a wager at those odds. [/ QUOTE ] I will put up $100 against you. We can find an escrow. Winner gets accured intrest also. [/ QUOTE ] Well, I am willing to accept this bet, but I am not willing to put $10K in escrow for a year. [/ QUOTE ] So you really are not willing to accept it? And just decided to run your mouth earlier? Why wouldnt you escrow where winner gets accured intrest? [/ QUOTE ] Becuase I would have to move money out of funds that earn much better than whatever the escrow account interest rate is for only a 1% return on my investment. [/ QUOTE ] Leave the $10k in escrow invested in the same instrument you would move it out of. Problem solved.
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