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#1
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600NL: To fire a 3rd?
Never played with the villain, but his mined stats look very loose passive. I just sat.
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $3/$6 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $234 UTG+1: $441 Hero: $615 Button: $710.85 SB: $682.55 BB: $549 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $21</font>, Button calls, 2 folds. Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($51, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $42</font>, Button calls. Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($135, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $120</font>, Button calls. River: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($375, 2 players) I am thinking the turn bet is kinda bad, but do you fire this river here? |
#2
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
Well, if you have mined stats on him, you might as well post those, they can help...
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#3
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
We know these guys probably aren't going to be folding a K or A right? So that's a strike against river betting but that turn bet is probably no good against this guy, i like check-fold
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#4
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
If he had an A high flushdraw, he just made toppair. That's a reason not to bet. JT also made a straight. Would he have raised Kx by now? If not, the river is an easy check since he could have some Kx hand and is too afraid/passive to bet it. In that case he would call with any K, JT and maybe 50% of his Ax hands.
If you could exclude a K from his range it becomes a little bit tougher, I still wouldn't bluff this probably. The best line is to check turn imo, he is passive so he will check any draw, any Q or whatever and give yourself a shot a t a free showdown. |
#5
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
I would never fire a river here!
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#6
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
meh, you could get him off a Q if you fire again but im not sure how often he has that. Fire occasionally but check behind should be standard, especially since it wasnt something like a J or a T that fell, or a diamond.
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#7
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
hmm, maybe im wrong given we bet pot on the turn and other than T9s, J9d the other diamond draws are all to lower flushes (except A hi but they aint folding now) that he would fold more often on the turn
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#8
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
you can add more diamonds, i dont think it changes the end decision. could be wrong.
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#9
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
[ QUOTE ]
you can add more diamonds, i dont think it changes the end decision. could be wrong. [/ QUOTE ] we win if he has diamonds no matter what we do (except diamonds with the 8d). i don't like the push at all though. i'm not convinced he folds a Q all the time and we know that he's passive, so he can have a K. |
#10
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Re: 600NL: To fire a 3rd?
I'd give up on the river.
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