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Old 11-19-2007, 05:50 PM
Bicycles_Biatch Bicycles_Biatch is offline
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Default 3-betting Light at commerce ONLY

Recently I have been running into the same situation and I'm trying to sort out if it's positive EV.

The situation is this... I RARELY (and I mean RARELY) get 4 bet. I'm talking about 30-40 sessions of 5-10 hours each session in the commerce 20-40 game.

I don't know if it's coincidence, game selection, or my image as a player... but I'm literally never getting 4-bet by hands like JJ, AK, AQ and sometimes even QQ.

By no stretch of the imagination do I exude the image of a super tight rock... but for some reason I'm just not getting capped (commerce cap is 4 bets). It's almost as though players at the 20-40 limit feel that the 4-banger is reserved for AA and KK only, no matter who their opponent is.

Due to this trend... I have found myself 3-betting light against an open raiser way more often than I believe is optimal.

This style has in turn lead me to some NASTY variance over the last 3 months. I'm still winning... but the swings are gross.

When other players are missing and not pairing their big cards, I'm winning massive pots on the turn... often without improving. However, when people are ahead post flop, I usually get stuck since I now have the odds to call down or try to improve due to how much I have bloated the pot.

I guess the situation that is coming up most often is when I 3 bet an open raiser with a hand like 66 or two suited broadway cards like KQ. I'm clearing out the blinds and usually taking this hand 2-3 handed as either a slight favorite or a slight dog. In position I'll take this scenario all day long; especially against a player who will rarely try to get to show-down with a hand like unimproved AK.

So far it's working... then again... I sometimes don't think I have the mental fortitude to fade 4-5 rack swings in any game [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Thoughts? Has anyone else found themselves going BUCK wild with 3-betting at the weaker commerce games?
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