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  #11  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:45 PM
rica rica is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

i put him on QQ and fold
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  #12  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:45 PM
jfish jfish is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

oops, so 13 combinations of legitimate hands vs 29 combinations of missed draws.
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  #13  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:46 PM
jfish jfish is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

he doesnt have QQ, op said he 3bets often. also, top of our range blah blah (if you subscribe to that line of thought).
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  #14  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:46 PM
rica rica is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

looking at it again, i def think he has QQ...
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  #15  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:48 PM
rica rica is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

deep as they were if u 3bet QQ in this spot u are kinda lost as to post-flop play , flat calling like that controls pot size and u kinda know where u are in the hand which is with the best hand obv.. im a big fan of that play

and obviously on the river he's putting you on a 7 (A7, 76) or something good and obviously he wants you to call... it looks SO MUCH with QQ man... i dont think 66 does that so big overbet
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  #16  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:14 PM
2cards2come 2cards2come is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

throw it away. I've fallen for this trap so many times its sick.
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  #17  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:18 PM
Unknown Soldier Unknown Soldier is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

jfish, hes more likely to play a legtiamte hand like this then a bluff. Can't assume all the hands you wrote have equal probabilities of turning up.


oh, and lol @ him having QQ. he 3b like 99% of the time
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  #18  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:20 PM
DaCooler DaCooler is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

FOLD
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  #19  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:22 PM
Haiku Haiku is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

This is definitely a fold.
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  #20  
Old 09-04-2007, 01:26 PM
jfish jfish is offline
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Default Re: $400NL. AA.... fold river?!?!?

if he is bluffing with 42% of his bluffing range the call becomes 0EV (somebody should check my math). on a board like this, given a line like his, i think his bluffing frequency is higher than 42 and a call is +EV.
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