Can I make this a thin value bet vs Kristy Gazes, Bellagio Cup ME

bigbabyjesus · #1 07-12-2007, 09:51 PM

First day of the Bellagio Cup $10k WPT. By this point I hadn't been at Kristy's table for that long; maybe 30 hands worth? My stack was about 21k when I got here and now it's down to 17.5k. Not much has happened; I've raised, gotten 3-bet a few times, and been pretty card dead.

She's playing a little loose and not too aggressive. I guess kind of how you'd assume she'd play? Not great, but not terrible.

We're 8-handed and I'm UTG w/ 88. This can be a limp but I raise since I've been tight and I feel a limp sort of gives away my hand range a little bit. I make it 700 at 100/200 25 ante.

Only Kristy calls in early MP.

Pot is 1900. Flop is 952r. I bet 1400, she calls pretty quickly.

Turn is a 2, no FD on board. I decide to check and reevaluate, probably calling at least one more bet. She checks behind though.

River is a 4. Pot is 4700. Should I check/fold or bet?

0evg0 · #2 07-12-2007, 10:03 PM

This is exactly the kind of spot where there really is a big difference between live/online.

And FWIW I think limping is pretty damn bad.

adanthar · #3 07-12-2007, 10:22 PM

wow check/folding is not on the radar ever ever ever

bigbabyjesus · #4 07-12-2007, 10:31 PM

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wow check/folding is not on the radar ever ever ever

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Why? I highly doubt she has a hand like 43 she is turning into a bluff. If she got this far with AK I'd expect a turn bet. And I don't see 77 betting for value, though I guess it's not impossible but I feel unlikely.

nath · #5 07-12-2007, 10:45 PM

bet 2400

Tyler Durden · #6 07-12-2007, 11:25 PM

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And FWIW I think limping is pretty damn bad.

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Why do you think so? I think it's pretty close and doesn't matter much in the long run.

uclabruinz · #7 07-12-2007, 11:35 PM

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bet 2400

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imabigdeal · #8 07-12-2007, 11:50 PM

Probably c/c... idk I guess you could get looked up by a few hands you have beat, 77 66... I hate limping btw

Ansky · #9 07-12-2007, 11:57 PM

bet for shizzle.

and adanthar what worse hands valuebets/ what bluffs are there on riv if you check.

adanthar · #10 07-13-2007, 12:04 AM

her range here is narrow enough that 77-66 alone (even if she never shows up with something like A5) probably make it a call. although I shouldn't have said it that strongly because if she 2/3 pots it it's a tougher decision.

but it doesn't matter because I'm betting.