November 27th - December 3rd NCAA Hoops Thread!

[CardSharpCook]

Zags and oregon are both plays for me. Oregon a 2u play.

[BobbyLight]

St Joe's did not impress me at all from tracking the Ball State game the other night. They were a 15-16 point favorite and struggled throughout the contest. I think there is value in Gonzaga but considering the sketchiness of the line (I was expecting Gonzaga -3) I would make it a 3 unit or even 2 unit play.

I like Oregon if I had to bet the other game.

[betonit]

I love oregon tonight -2. Kansas state always has their star players in foul trouble early and it burns them late in games. Ducks are too quick and are able to shot the three great in every game. Love oregon to get the win here.

[BobbyLight]

Got lucky to sneak through that Richmond play as I got them at -2 like I said and they won by 3. Many people pushed.

Tonight I'm doing 2 units on two underdogs and 3 units on one underdog.

I'm 9-6-0 in college hoops and up 17 units of profit, on the year in college basketball (most plays posted here or there...I have nothing to gain or lose by posting my record just tossing it out there)

Here's the breakdown,

2 units-Gonzaga (+ 1 1/2)
2 units-Drexel (+8 1/2)
3 units-Oklahoma (+6)

2 units-Gonzaga. I'm rolling with Gonzaga tonight. Obviously flying across the country from Spokane into the city of Brotherly Love isn't an advantage for the Zags but I think on the floor this is just the better basketball team.

Let's take a look at St Joe's. The Hawks came into their last game against Ball State floating around a 16 point favorite. They looked sluggish and quite rankly overrated with that number in winning 74-63. The game was tight throughout and featured St Joe's turning the ball over more than their opponents.

They also didn't shoot really cold from the outside, hitting 12 of 26 threes, for greater than 46%. You would think that if it was tight with an 0-5 team like Ball State St Joe's would have shot maybe 25% but actually they shot the ball well from behind the arc and also 80% from the foul stripe.

Another interesting SJU fact...they lost to Syracuse who has proven to be quite the fraud; giving up 107 points last night as well as getting absolutely housed by A&M at Madison Square Garden. That is no longer a quality win.

Gonzaga is coming off a pretty strong pounding of Virginia Tech. Though Gonzaga's loss to Texas Tech seems alarming I think that can be generously omissed compared to SJU's games due to the Voskuil kind on TT having a ridiuclously sick game.

I'm not in love with what I've seen out of Fews Bulldogs but I truly believe they have been more tested with the experience they gained in the Great Alaskan Shootout and I feel SJU's has some leaks based off of some of their closer than should be encounters against bad teams.

I think Gonzaga wins the game by 5 and lives up to their top 15 preseason ranking.
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Drexel (+8 1/2)

I think this is too many points for George Mason to be laying against Bruiser Flint's team. I like George Mason to win a close game but I think the Dragons from Drexel hang in the game throughout due to the talent and experience of Frank Elegar.

The only loss for Drexel is against Virginia, who I believe to be the second best ACC team and a taem that contains one of the best players in the country in Sean Singletary.

Flint's Dragons lost 72-58 but gave the Cavs a fight for almost the full 40 minutes.

George Mason seemed to fade in the ball games played in Disney over Thanksgiving on their way to giving up a lead as Villanova pulled away as well as getting down 14-2 against South Carolina, a game in which they were 2.5-3 point favorites and failed to cover.

I think 8.5 is just too much as the Dragons and Elegar keep it close tonight.
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3 unit play on 5-1 Oklahama tonight since I think laying 6 with the Southern California Trojans is just too much.

The line looks inflated off the 70-45 whipping USC handed ranked opponent Southern Illinois.

Personally I think that game is an aberration until I'm proven otherwise.

USC did lose by 15 at home to Belmont as well as winning by only 10 against a 2-3 and bad San Diego team.

Oklahoma's only loss was to a legit Memphis team, ranked third in the land.

Oklahoma plays it tight and I predict wins outright on the west coast.

[CardSharpCook]

blight, we are on the same side for these three. my plays:

wake forest -4.5 -102
tenn martin +7 -105
ohio +5.5 -107 2u
S alabama +11.5 -108 2u
oregon -2.5 -106 2u
oklahoma +6 +100
drexel +7 -103
witch state +180 2u
gonzaga +115

no 3u plays tonight. My highlighted matchup is Wichita st at App St.

witch st:
11/13 Ark-PB W 61-56
11/16 Baylor L 64-55
11/17 at Monmouth L 59-50
11/19 Ill-Chicago W 67-60
11/24 Wyoming W 75-63

app st.
11/12 at Charlotte L 84-78
11/15 at Lipscomb W 81-58
11/16 San Jose St L 64-62
11/17 at M Tenn St W 84-79
11/21 at Campbell W 71-64

The win over Wyoming looks good for a fourth tier team like Wich. The Shockers start 3 seniors, 1 junior, and 1 frosh. The mountaineers have a collection of sophs to seniors (1 frosh) who see playing time. Certainly deeper than the Shockers. The size advantage is slightly in favor of the mountaineers. Sag (not that sag matters much at this point) says that Wich is the better team, barely. All told, I see this game as a coin flip, or a 45/55 in favor of app st. the +180 price should be deliciously pounded.

Another game of note is S.Alabama travelling to Vandy. S.Ala is a decent 4th tier team. Vandy hasn't put a game away yet. I don't think their first blowout will come against a decent S.Alabama team.

[cookieb]

Where did you get Drexel at 8.5? I like it for a small play at that number, but haven't seen it move beyond 7.5,and is 7 everywhere now.

[betonit]

Thursday November 28th:
12-3 +$1289.65
61.3% Bankroll Increase.
Bankroll: $3388.95

<font color="red">Thursday November 29th</font>

Drexel Dragons +7.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Oregon Ducks -2 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Boston Celtics New York Knicks Under 188.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Boston Celtics -4 1Q (-110)
$110 to win $100

Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-120)
$110 to win $91.66

Rutgers Scarlet Knights +3 (-120)
$110 to win $91.66

[stylos]

11/29 picks

WAKE FOREST -4½-110 1u
TEMPLE -5-110 1u
AIR FORCE -6-110 1u
SANTA CLARA -8-110 1u
GONZAGA +2-110 1u
ARKANSAS STATE -7½-110 1u
OREGON -2-110 1u

YTD: 15-5-0 +9.5u

I need to get some other books up cause some of my spreads suck compared to others in this thread.

[betonit]

[ QUOTE ]
Thursday November 28th:
12-3 +$1289.65
61.3% Bankroll Increase.
Bankroll: $3388.95

<font color="red">Thursday November 29th</font>

Drexel Dragons +7.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Oregon Ducks -2 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Boston Celtics New York Knicks Under 188.5 (-110)
$110 to win $100

Boston Celtics -4 1Q (-110)
$110 to win $100

Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-120)
$110 to win $91.66

Rutgers Scarlet Knights +3 (-120)
$110 to win $91.66


40.00 154.85
Basketball - 509 Drexel +9½ -140 buying 1½ for Game
Basketball - 515 Gonzaga +3½ -130 buying 1 for Game
Basketball - 519 Oregon +1 -165 buying 2½ for Game

38.95 626.04
Football - 302 Dallas Cowboys -6 -135 for Game
Football - 303 Rutgers +3½ -135 for Game
Basketball - 509 Drexel +9 -130 buying 1 for Game
Basketball - 519 Oregon -125 for Game
Basketball - 525 Wichita State +5 -130 buying 1 for Game

60.00 113.79
Football - 302 Dallas Cowboys -5½ -145 for Game
Football - 303 Rutgers +4 -140 for Game


[/ QUOTE ]

[betonit]

drexel is getting hammered!

this is bad.