NL200 - Another AA post

[Small Fry]

Stats on villian are 50/10/1 after about 50 hands. My stats at this point are probably about 16-18/8/1.5.

I've got about $196 and he has me covered.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, 4 folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($30, 5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $22</font>, UTG+1 calls, 3 folds.

Should I have bet more / less here?

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($74, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $30</font>, Hero...

Is checking correct? Can I call? With him playing half his hands so far (based on limited info I realize) he could have anything.

Thanks

[Fundamentals]

I'm not sure I understand the check. Thoughts?

[Small Fry]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure I understand the check. Thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm oop and don't want to build a giant pot. I'm thinking WA/WB. If I lead out with say $40 - $55 and he calls what do I do on the river? Say I bet $40 on the turn and he makes it $80...what then? Auto fold?

There's my thoughts. Are they wrong?

ps. Should I have lead out on the turn with a small bet, like $20 and see how he reacts?

[Fundamentals]

I admit I fire a second barrel, and yeah, if I get raised I am probably tossing it. It's hard to say because the aggro factor is probably incorrect with only 50 hands, but with with a 50% VP$IP, isn't there a pretty large range of hands we can still be betting for value against?

Maybe I'm spewy. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Falc]

As played you have to call, but I prefer to lead for $40-$50 versus this opponent.

[pterodactyl_]

Turn is a good card as it makes 66 much less likely and puts you ahead of T7. There are only a few hands that beat you right now and this guy is playing half his hands (so far). I think youre giving villain too much credit. He can easily have AT/KT/QT/JT/T9 and Im definetly not laying this down yet. A larger sample size and more reads on villain would be helpful, however. I like c/c turn (as he most likely is not drawing) and donk value bet river for ~50 (on a non terrible card) and fold to push.

Also, raise more PF. 3BB from UTG is going to guarentee multi-way action OOP and that is the last thign you want with AA.

[pterodactyl_]

I advocated turn c/c after the initial turn check but I do think leading out is better against this opponent to get more value out of his Tx hands.

[Small Fry]

Sure there's a large range. Can I pop him with a check raise here?

[Fundamentals]

[ QUOTE ]
Sure there's a large range. Can I pop him with a check raise here?

[/ QUOTE ]

*IF* his aggro factor is anywhere near close here, that seems very dangerous.

[Small Fry]

Fundamentals, (or anyone else)

Can you give me your thoughts on his hand range at this point? Did I screw it up by checking?