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Old 03-16-2007, 04:34 AM
LesJ LesJ is offline
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Default Perfect NCAA Bracket?

What are the odds of a picking a perfect NCAA bracket? I believe I figured it out, but it seems almost too unrealistic. I calculated the odds at 1:9,223,372,036,854,775,808. I went under the assumption that the odds of picking each game were exactly 50%, with no benefit of basketball knowledge. I also totally eliminated the "Play-In" game from my calculation, going instead with 64 teams playing a total of 63 tourney games.

Les
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Old 03-16-2007, 09:18 AM
Tom1975 Tom1975 is offline
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Default Re: Perfect NCAA Bracket?

You got it. 2^63
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  #3  
Old 03-16-2007, 12:12 PM
BenJammin' BenJammin' is offline
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Default Re: Perfect NCAA Bracket?

it would be interesting to calculate this after factoring in win percentages from the regular season...i kow someone can do it
GOGOGO
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Old 03-17-2007, 03:50 PM
Neil S Neil S is offline
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Default Re: Perfect NCAA Bracket?

[ QUOTE ]
it would be interesting to calculate this after factoring in win percentages from the regular season...i kow someone can do it
GOGOGO

[/ QUOTE ]I doubt the sample size is large enough to make such a calculation useful.
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