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#21
11-22-2007, 09:30 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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[ QUOTE ] Pretty solid list. The only two teams I *might* think about switching up would be Detroit and Washington. [/ QUOTE ] ?? Washington spanked Detroit 34-3. Yeah I realize it's projective but the Redskins hold the tiebreaker while the Lions have a bitch of a schedule. [/ QUOTE ] My reasoning behind this is that I believe the Lions will finish 9-7 while the Redskins will finish 8-8. Obviously, one game would change this easily, which is why I said *might* consider switching it up. In either case, it's really close and I would not argue heavily for it to be either way. 
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#22
11-22-2007, 10:12 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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[ QUOTE ] I only looked through their rating system briefly, but it looks like it takes the whole season into account? That might work for baseball, but I bet it is way less predictive in football where injuries and where momentum/streaks are more prevalent. [/ QUOTE ] Injuries are a real problem for outsiders, because they've never figured out a way to effectively include them in the system. Like any statistic, it should be used as a general guide, not a steadfast rule. But if it says the Eagles are 18% to make the playoffs, then it's apparent that saying 50% is being way too optimistic. And I'm not buying the momentum thing at all. I think momentum is the same type of thing as clutch: something that's often talked about as important but doesn't actually exist. [/ QUOTE ] Also, the most predictive version of their statistic does not take into account the whole season. In fact, I think it eventually ignores the first few weeks.
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#23
11-22-2007, 10:42 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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Also, the most predictive version of their statistic does not take into account the whole season. In fact, I think it eventually ignores the first few weeks. [/ QUOTE ] Weighted DVOA, which is what the Playoff Odds Report uses.
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#24
11-23-2007, 06:13 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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[ QUOTE ] GB Dallas TB Seattle NYG PHL Zona Was Detroit NO everyone else [/ QUOTE ] Hahahha you think GB beats Dallas ? Well I guess we're about to find out. But ahahhahaha. [/ QUOTE ] AHAHAHAHAHAHA LOL ROFLMAOSKATES. bUT AHAHAHAHAHAHA GIMME 3-1 on GB for $1000?
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#25
11-23-2007, 06:23 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] GB Dallas TB Seattle NYG PHL Zona Was Detroit NO everyone else [/ QUOTE ] Hahahha you think GB beats Dallas ? Well I guess we're about to find out. But ahahhahaha. [/ QUOTE ] AHAHAHAHAHAHA LOL ROFLMAOSKATES. bUT AHAHAHAHAHAHA GIMME 3-1 on GB for $1000? [/ QUOTE ] surely you're smarter than this. how big a favorite will dallas be next week - 4-6 points?
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#29
11-23-2007, 08:41 PM
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Re: PokerFink\'s 2007 NFC Rankings (Week 11)
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FO Playoff Odds Report Playoff Chances New York - 86% Arizona - 54% Washington - 25% Philadelphia - 18% Detroit - 14% New Orleans - 9% [/ QUOTE ] Looks very accurate imo. If Washington wins at Tampa this week I think that they can pull it off though. Either way, pretty crazy, Zona in the playoffs for the first time in god knows who long, or 3 NFC East teams in the playoffs.
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Linear Mode
