QQ facing a river push

[NL__Fool]

No reads on villain, how often am I ahead?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($132.15)
CO ($93.10)
Hero ($187.20)
SB ($67.10)
BB ($51.85)
UTG ($141.15)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $14</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $10.

Flop: ($29.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, UTG calls $20.

Turn: ($69.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($69.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $107.15 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $176.65

[PleaseSignal]

I think your behind most of the time, because if he c/c's the flop he probably thinks his hand has some showdown value (TT+) and when the king hits on the turn he still shoves river (you could easily have a wiffed AK) - I think this is AA most of the time

[gir]

He has AK more often than AA in this spot, but both hands beat you. I can't imagine him pushing a hand you beat (although a nutso JJ/TT could know that you don't have AA/AK by your turn check and force the fold...although, it's a huge bet to make a point against an unknown at that point). In any case, yes, it's a fold. I bet a few bucks more on the flop.

[orange]

gir,
do you really think AK peels that flop? i dont.