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View Poll Results: The best tactic for showing hands is
showing hands opposite your style of play to create your desired image (show bluffs if your tight, show big hands if your lag) 9 14.06%
showing big hands and bluffs equally to confuse opponents 4 6.25%
to never show your hand, to keep the most information hidden. 51 79.69%
Voters: 64. You may not vote on this poll

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  #11  
Old 05-23-2007, 10:19 AM
nextgenneo nextgenneo is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

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quick thoughts:

any A check/call
any J check/call
any K shove (4)
any Q shove (4)
any T shove (4)
any 5,9 shove (8)
any 6,7,8 check/fold
any 2-4 check/fold

so I'd shove 20 out of 46 turns... so thats ~43%

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Why do you prefer c/c over shoving an A or J?

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The off chance he thinks we are making a play which is likely given the history he could float this small raise planning to shove a lot of turns so we can pick off those hands. Thinking about it more though I think a T on the turn is a fold as 99 represents a lot of his range so I'd bet even less.
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  #12  
Old 05-23-2007, 10:19 AM
nextgenneo nextgenneo is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

[ QUOTE ]
I probably shove any Ace or spade and c/f everything else.

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Flop comes 678r, without backdoorflush for you.

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  #13  
Old 05-23-2007, 10:20 AM
Grunch Grunch is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

Why do you shove a spade, Eagles? Randomizing factor?
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  #14  
Old 05-23-2007, 10:25 AM
RuffRhyder RuffRhyder is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

[ QUOTE ]
I probably shove any Ace or spade and c/f everything else.

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Much rather shove a diamond [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] As to the question, I'd probably say something like 20% and that would be largely down to 'feel'... Not sure how to explain it, but I'm shoving an ace for sure.
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  #15  
Old 05-23-2007, 10:26 AM
RuffRhyder RuffRhyder is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

Damnit, too late...
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  #16  
Old 05-23-2007, 01:50 PM
Overfloater Overfloater is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

just under 25% of the time

This assumes 11 almost-outs:


shove turned ace
shove turned ten or turned 5


(checkcall turned jack)



If opponent was a bit of a folderson and not very good (ie would assign equal probability to you cr'ing a combo draw or naked oesd with the dummy end of the straight in addition to the top end), you could shove 40%. Thats 19 outs to "hit" (touch?). Four 5s, four 4s, four 9s, four tens, 3 aces.



These calculations are very rough and simplistic, and dont account for villain calling a certain % of the time as opposed to 100%, and they dont take into account pot size, either.Ie they dont give an EV calc.
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  #17  
Old 05-23-2007, 02:15 PM
aejones aejones is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

this guy has two nines, two tens, two jacks, and maaaaybe two queens 97% of the time (accurate).

his range is weight to two tens, almost exclusively, with two jacks second most likely, and queens- nines a toss us for least likely... but not much else is really feasible, except possibly pair+straight draw with random garbage-ish type hands.

i believe the answer is to bet about 40% of turns. all spades for sure, shove them, and it's not close... i'd still try to move him off this hand a good % of the time when i whiffed the turn, and DEF bet a jack, and almost always chekc an ace......
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  #18  
Old 05-23-2007, 02:44 PM
Eagles Eagles is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you shove a spade, Eagles? Randomizing factor?

[/ QUOTE ]
Misread the OP thought we had a BDFD
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  #19  
Old 05-23-2007, 03:04 PM
aejones aejones is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Why do you shove a spade, Eagles? Randomizing factor?

[/ QUOTE ]
Misread the OP thought we had a BDFD

[/ QUOTE ]

we do, and we should shove a spade
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  #20  
Old 05-23-2007, 03:06 PM
PerDoom PerDoom is offline
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Default Re: A 3-bet pot poll.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Why do you shove a spade, Eagles? Randomizing factor?

[/ QUOTE ]
Misread the OP thought we had a BDFD

[/ QUOTE ]

we do, and we should shove a spade

[/ QUOTE ]

Flop comes 678r, without backdoorflush for you.
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