Daliman's Wong teasers, Season Deux: Week 4

[fleece_me]

Daliman, almost every sports book in the world has them at 2.5. If you took a consensus of the biggest books in the world, none have 3 and the consensus would be 2.5

Are you saying it is a bad bet +9 but a good bet at +8.5. Listen I'm sure the Giants will get killed and you will look like a genius but you are wrong on this one.

[WaterOlay]

This is my first time ever trying a Wong, so im sure ill lose
vikes +7.5
atl +8.5

[fleece_me]

NYG might be a little scary because of the high total, but the line is a solid 2.5 and clearly wongable.

[Daliman]

Also put in Atl +3/+9 to the mix, 10 total teases.

EDIT: looking around, NYG IS at +2.5 in many places, and -125 at my book, so I'll go with it just so Thremp can win. Also, betting 660 per teaser.

[Austiger]

Are 4 or 5 teamers +EV? Bodog offers 3-1 and 9-2.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Are 4 or 5 teamers +EV? Bodog offers 3-1 and 9-2.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes.

Whether they are optimal for your bankroll/wager size and other considerations look in the Wong FAQ or post a Q there.

[CrushinFelt]

I'll cross-post my question here... was analysis done by Wong on higher spreads? i.e. teasing from +12 to +18 in the chiefs game today

[kaboshedx]

[ QUOTE ]
I have:

Atlanta
Detroit
49ers
Giants
Patriots

Vikings have moved out of the realm (obv if your book can get your through the 7 thats fine and gains a small amount of expectation from a bad line)

I fully expect Vikings to cover and Giants to not since that is what happens despite Daliman's accusations.

[/ QUOTE ]

i have the exact same, GOGOGOGOGOGOGOGO

[Limpfold]

Tip for the future, don't start betting teasers 30 min before kickoff if there's 6-7 possible teams involved and you plan to r/r....
Ended up with a longass list of 3teamers r/red at bodog, 25% of the roll invested like a true degen.
Time to get the vodka and watch football!!

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
I'll cross-post my question here... was analysis done by Wong on higher spreads? i.e. teasing from +12 to +18 in the chiefs game today

[/ QUOTE ]
Sort of, in form of spread distributions, if not actually analyzing those. Trust me, it's HIGHLY -EV.