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Old 11-20-2007, 03:39 PM
digdeep digdeep is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Mulholland Drive
Posts: 389
Default Re: No pumpkin pie from Vegas

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digdeep, you're not picking them to win. You seem to be ignoring this.

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I think GB is undervalued at -3. I would rather buy the 1/2 or 1pt and play GB -2.5.

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In your last couple of posts you've talked about GB -3.5 being almost a sure thing and how Detroit is terrible and they won't win. I'm just pointing out that the line is +3.5 for the home team who isn't "horrible."

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Good point - I was really trying to point out that I think DET is overrated - and that GB -3 / 3.5 is undervalued.

NYG was -3 vs. DET last Sunday - I think GB is better than NYG... therefore would have expected GB to be more like -5.

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Okay...Green Bay is a good deal better than the New York Football Giants; I am being serious.

So why is the line basically the same?

Happy Thanksgiving from Las Vegas (Rake in that cash baby!)

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Why was TB -3 last week vs. ATL. A LOT of people were really big on ATL +3/3.5 last week - saying how they were home dogs... and they won two in a row... yada yada yada.

GB / DET - GB hasn't gotten any respect all year - and everybody has been on DET's nuts like they're the second coming...

GB has had depressed lines all year: 8-1-1 ATS.
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