200NL - AA on monotone flop against nit

[moldman]

Villain here is a bad 18/4 guy. I've been playing kinda loose, running around 20/15 at the table. I felt kinda lost here. I felt really weak playing it this way, but do I really want to build a pot against a 4% raiser who raised/called UTG here? The only thing I'm ahead of is AK, but even then he has the Ac half the time and I'm not that safe.

Is a c-bet in order here (basically a bluff)? Other thoughts?


BB: $189.85
UTG: $226.65
Hero (UTG+1): $805.05
MP1: $462.90
MP2: $105.15
CO: $200
BTN: $200
SB: $98.60

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG+1)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $6</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $19</font>, 6 folds, UTG calls $13

Flop: ($41) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($41) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $15</font>, Hero folds

[GrandMelon]

just b/f the flop

[SABR42]

You have to call that weak-ass turn bet IMO.

[moldman]

Like I said, I felt really terrible folding, but been trying to think ahead more and I really couldn't imagine calling many river bets, so I just cut my losses. Obviously, the whole hand is dictated on the facts he's a 4% raiser and the only thing I feel I'm really ahead of is AK, without the Ac. Looking back though, him not leading the flop makes me think he doesn't have KK or QQ, so it's either AA or AK. Ehh. I hate this hand.

[soah]

[ QUOTE ]
just b/f the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

seems pretty bad

[CalledDownLight]

call the turn

[moldman]

For those saying call the turn, what's the plan on river? Assume it's a blank and he leads for $40 into a 71 pot.

[SABR42]

[ QUOTE ]
For those saying call the turn, what's the plan on river?

[/ QUOTE ]
Call a smallish bet. He could easily be blocking with AK or AA.

[soah]

if he'll fold a set to a club on the river then calling is really good, have six real outs plus bluff outs if behind and sometimes already the best hand

[SABR42]

Oh and obv bluff river if it's a club. Good point Soah.