3/6: Set fold :(

[oyvindgee]

I'm compressing PT db and that takes forever so I don't have HH. Should be pretty accurate anyway.

Eff stacks: 700

I raise TT to 21 UTG
Decent 21/14/3.8 calls in MP
Rest folds.

Flop(51): 9TQ rainbow

I bet 40
He calls

Turn(131): 7 completing the rainbow

I bet 100
He calls

River(330): A

I bet 225
He goes all in for 315 more
I fold

[illuminati]

Huh? I assume you still fold on a blank river because KJ is still the nuts unless you are thinking he can CC AA pf and play it in this manner (which seems a stretch) I'd also assume KJ raises on the flop/turn.

This looks lots like AQ.

I turbo call this.

[Hattifnatt]

call for sure.

[oyvindgee]

What are you putting him on? There is no way he slowplays a set on that flop. No draws missed. And I seriously doubt he would push AQ in that spot. I either have air(very rarely) or a monster.

Lets say he pushes 5 combos of AQ which is more than half and way too generous IMO. There's still 32 straight making combos out. Against that range we have 15% equity. We're getting like 3.5-1.

You're obv putting him on a wider range but I honestly can't see what that is.

[illuminati]

So do you fold a brick river? He shouldn't have J8 or anything. You expect KJ to NOT be raised anywhere but always expect him to raise a set? This seems a little contradictory.

He could even be bluffing the A with QJ or somesuch.

[oyvindgee]

[ QUOTE ]
So do you fold a brick river? He shouldn't have J8 or anything. You expect KJ to NOT be raised anywhere but always expect him to raise a set? This seems a little contradictory.

He could even be bluffing the A with QJ or somesuch.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, the A does if anything make me more inclined to call. I do believe a straight is way more likely to slowplay the flop than a set but I get your point.

Also, I screwed up my calculations. He obv can't have J8o, but suited is in there.

Dunno, at the table I was like. Yeah, b/f river is great. The more I think about it the closer it gets. But my fold is mainly just a feeling that I can't see him doing this for value with worse ever. Guess that makes justifying it with PokerStove pretty dumb.

Wow, this post was incoherent

[Melchiades]

If he raises AA, KJ and AQ on this river it's an easy call. You really think he only raises the nuts and AA?

Board: Ac Qd Ts 9h 7s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.143% 32.14% 00.00% 9 0.00 { TcTh }
Hand 1: 67.857% 67.86% 00.00% 19 0.00 { AA, AQs, KJs, AQo, KJo }

[Isura]

dreadful

[EPiPeN11]

awful fold

[soah]

[ QUOTE ]
dreadful

[/ QUOTE ]