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#1
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
Took MIA +22.5/U46. Risking 1.1u to win 1u. I agree with Kyro in that Miami is not as bad as the public thinks and Pit is way overrated imo. I see this being an ugly, low-scoring affair.
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#2
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
It was discussed in the other thread that teasing from a high number to an even higher number is really bad.
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#3
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
Ok. I still like my bet.
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#4
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
While watching the game last week, I am not convinced Parker is 100%. He went down very easy the entire game. Davenport got more carries than normal in a close game. He usually only gets 3rd downs and mop up duties. I think the knee is bothering Parker. He had problems with it all pre-season. Anyway, this caused Pittsburgh to be in 3rd and long all last week and the Jets took advantage and brought pressure.
If I am indeed right, I really wish they would sit Parker and let Davenport play. That said, the line points to a 27-10 Pitt victory tonight. I see that as being pretty close. |
#5
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
According to FO:
[ QUOTE ] The Steelers ranked second in the league in rushing yards, but the total is largely inflated by the sheer number of attempts. According to Football Outsiders’ DVOA rankings, which measure stats on a per-play basis, the Steelers feature a league-average rushing attack. [/ QUOTE ] This is great because it should run the clock down while keeping the score low I'm thinking this is a great spot for a correlated parlay Miami +16 Under 38.5 |
#6
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
[ QUOTE ]
While watching the game last week, I am not convinced Parker is 100%. He went down very easy the entire game. Davenport got more carries than normal in a close game. He usually only gets 3rd downs and mop up duties. I think the knee is bothering Parker. He had problems with it all pre-season. Anyway, this caused Pittsburgh to be in 3rd and long all last week and the Jets took advantage and brought pressure. If I am indeed right, I really wish they would sit Parker and let Davenport play. That said, the line points to a 27-10 Pitt victory tonight. I see that as being pretty close. [/ QUOTE ] Way to go out on a limb and say the line is pretty close. |
#7
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] While watching the game last week, I am not convinced Parker is 100%. He went down very easy the entire game. Davenport got more carries than normal in a close game. He usually only gets 3rd downs and mop up duties. I think the knee is bothering Parker. He had problems with it all pre-season. Anyway, this caused Pittsburgh to be in 3rd and long all last week and the Jets took advantage and brought pressure. If I am indeed right, I really wish they would sit Parker and let Davenport play. That said, the line points to a 27-10 Pitt victory tonight. I see that as being pretty close. [/ QUOTE ] Way to go out on a limb and say the line is pretty close. [/ QUOTE ] Sorry for letting you know that I didn't see value in either side and thought the line looked pretty accurate. My bad. |
#8
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
What's the lowest line you'd take the under for the second half at? I'm thinking I'd take the under on anything 16 and over. Thoughts?
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#9
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
[ QUOTE ]
Ok. I still like my bet. [/ QUOTE ] Do you like it as much as you liked NE last night? |
#10
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Re: ***OFFICIAL MNF FOOTBALL 11/26/07 (Miami at Pittsburgh)***
on dolphins +16 -105
o37 +125 |
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