Most reliable source for baseball prospects

[James282]

Hi, I just entered a very competitive fantasy league through www.scoresheet.com. This site simulates games based loosely on sabermetric player values(so rbi, runs, wins etc are meaningless). There are 2 expansion teams entering the league, mine, and another. Every single decent player is already taken, and each team protects 8 major leaguers and 3 minor leaguers. I think I am just going to load up on prospects since I have literally no chance of winning anyway - and I have been looking through BP's articles(kevin goldstein's suggestions, and nate's 2006 pecota projections), and noticed they differ greatly from baseballamerica's projections. Even Nate's projections differ greatly from Goldstein's - so which projections do you sabermetric types consider the most reliable? Consider also that the ones I'm using from nate are a year old at this point.

James

[crockpot]

i'm not quite sure on the best source, but if you want overly optimistic projections for guys who were in AAA last year, look no further than the bill james handbook.

i think forecaster, BP, and firstinning.com all have their merits, but i mainly use them for top 50 types, not the bottom-feeders you'll likely need to look for. my best piece of advice is to target power-speed guys, although the good ones (c young, d young, upton) are already taken.

[rwperu34]

Baseball America rates more on tools while BP works from more of a statistical base. John Sickels site is a good balance and my personal favorite. Here is another link to a usefull site.

[James282]

Thanks all. There are a few decent guys here and there, but I'll def be building from the ground up.

James