NLTRN: Am I just running sick hot? Stat checkup - Page 2

cwar · #11 09-23-2007, 05:42 PM

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i don't open limp. maybe i need to reduce my salt/raw meat intake.

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Hu sngs?

daveT · #12 09-23-2007, 05:53 PM

Is it usual for you to win 54% of showdowns?

Otherwise, I don't see anything off, but your BB/hand is .11. Is this high r low for you?

I wouldn't worry about it. You didn't work your way to this level playing like an idiot.

hra146 · #13 09-23-2007, 05:57 PM

well, the 54% showdown is one of my major concerns. Im not a stats guy (Im doing research right now but I cant find much useful info) but I remember people talking about how 52% or so was sooo high and how he/she must be running hot right now.

daveT · #14 09-23-2007, 05:59 PM

Wrong. I run at 52% over 400 games.

EDIT: I would like to point out that I think that your WSD is inversely related to your VPIP, but I wouldn't know for sure.

cwar · #15 09-23-2007, 06:03 PM

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well, the 54% showdown is one of my major concerns. Im not a stats guy (Im doing research right now but I cant find much useful info) but I remember people talking about how 52% or so was sooo high and how he/she must be running hot right now.

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Anything below 55% is very reasonable, plus way too small a sample size for this particular stat.

hra146 · #16 09-23-2007, 06:08 PM

allright, then I totally misunderstood that concept.

Last but not least: Why the hell do I win nearly twice as much from the BB than OTB?

cwar · #17 09-23-2007, 06:10 PM

I am just guessing but probably because you bluff more often in position.

hra146 · #18 09-23-2007, 06:12 PM

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I am just guessing but probably because you bluff more often in position.

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Undoubtedly true. Does that also mean that Im probably bluffing too much? Or is that why Im subsequently getting paid off in the BB?

daveT · #19 09-23-2007, 06:15 PM

I think it is for two reasons: You are playing tighter against a raise and seeing free flops. When playing out of the SB, you are taking initiative, and a large portion of your value comes from c-betting (read: bluffing).

Take a deep breath and relax, it is all good.

If you really want to do a stat-by-stat comparison, you should filter out the 33s and see how you fair in the smaller levels. It would not surprise me to know that this has been the trend all along.

Hint: same is happening to me.

cwar · #20 09-23-2007, 06:21 PM

I honestly wouldnt change anything based upon these stats, you seem to be playing very well for the levels you are playing, Id much rather look at HHs than say something is wrong based on your stats because HU is soo dependent on tons of variable, also FWIW bluffing more often in position is correct because you have more information.