10NL AQ TP IP facing river decision

[MrWooster]

Villain is 78/10 over insignificant sample (19 hands) so stats are completely useless


I go to showdown too much and my won $ when went to SD is too low, so, here is an example where I am pretty sure my TP is beaten, quite a few legit hands beat me, but I am trying to convince myself to call.... what do we do here?

I checked behind on the turn for pot control, so have I induced a bluff, or is it a value bet?


Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $12.45
MP: $4.55
CO: $10
Hero (BTN): $9.95
SB: $16.15
BB: $12.15

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $0.20</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.80</font>, SB folds, BB calls $0.70, UTG calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.45) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $0.10</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, BB calls $2, UTG calls $1.90

Turn: ($8.45) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($8.45) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $4.20</font>, UTG folds, Hero is lost