Nobel for Literature

[NajdorfDefense]

My picks:
Murakami [Japan] 5-1
Pynchon 10-1 [if it goes to US, I predict him and not Roth]
Achebe 50-1
McCarthy 50-1 [doubtful, but still worthwhile. Oates at 9-1 is overbet imho]

for Peace Prize, I like Sendler as the pick, but have no strong opinion overall.

13/14 have been European lately [iirc], so I expect it not to be another like McEwan, Kundera, Eco, or similar.

I think there is serious value on Achebe at 50-1, and with that leverage, you don't need to bet much to be happy. Adonis at 14-1 prolly has some small value, he was around 4-1 4 years ago and has been dropping since.