22+2$ FT - Bubble - 55 and SB pushes.

[sence25]

Not posted a hand for some time, can't find a working converter for FT so i'm gonna do it this way.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1369437

Reads: SB was at some other tables of my set and has played decent as far as i've seen.

I am not sure how wide he pushes/should push here, and if I ever get more out of it than a flip. Prolly i should be looking for this flip with blinds this high& ma already postet BB & on the 55% side of it. Just not sure about this one.
Feel free to discuss yo guys.

[sence25]

Ok, i have just entered this into my icm tool.
If he pushes wider than 30%(which he certainly does) this is a call.
But i will flip very very often against this range+we are not itm if we win cuz he's got us covered by much.

Why do we want this? Can anyone explain?

[flopton]

I did not get those same results when I entered the hand in sngwiz. It says if he pushes 50% you're only calling with the top 9% of hands (77+, AT+, A9s+, KQs), and that he'd need to be pushing 90% of hands to make this a call. I think that is because of the reasons you mentioned, taking a coin flip on the bubble. Or I entered it wrong.

[sence25]

bump

[Little John]

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bump

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sence,
without running snpt i am about 99% sure flopton's numbers are correct and your numbers are wrong.

so flopton says he needs to be pushing 90%. if villian is an aggro/winning player that knows to push ATC then call, otherwise fold.

[sence25]

I was very surprised by my results, too.
Now I've tried it again and voilà, 55 is the bottom of my calling range when he pushes 100%.
thanks flopton&lil john