help

[shark steak]

so this program runs thousends of hands played out in one sec? to give a probability
(27,936,562 games/sec)

[poker_n00b]

Pokerstove gives you pot equity and not probability of winning. In some cases this may cause the probability of winning be like 2% but pot equity will be like 49%, because if the split of the pot.

I do not know any software that does give you the probability of winning.

You should determine whether pot equity gives you good estimation instead of probability of winning.

[pzhon]

[ QUOTE ]
Pokerstove gives you pot equity and not probability of winning. In some cases this may cause the probability of winning be like 2% but pot equity will be like 49%, because if the split of the pot.


[/ QUOTE ]
Actually, PokerStove gives the probability of winning, too. See the text box at the bottom of the window, e.g.,

<ul type="square">
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,712,304 games 0.032 secs 53,509,500 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

<font color="white">...........</font>equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.508% 02.17% 45.33% 37210 776269.00 { AcKd }
Hand 1: 52.492% 07.16% 45.33% 122556 776269.00 { AhKh }[/list]
The tie percentage is actually not the percentage of ties, but your equity from ties.

[poker_n00b]

You are right. It is not that I did not knew it, I am at work...[img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

The probability of a tie is tie equity times total number of players.

So in the above example, for Ah Kh:
Pr(win) = 7.16%
Pr(tie) = 45.33% * 2 players = 90.66%
Pr(lose) = 100% - 7.16% - 90.66% = 2.18% (which by definition, equals the probability of player 2 winning)