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Theory - Calling All In With AK.
I recently found a leak in my game. Its a "leftover" from when I played SNGs and MTT where AK is the nuts PF.
Reviewing hands in PT I found that Im spewing with AK when the villan shoves over my PFR. So in an attempt to fix the leak I have done some calculations and made myself a basic quide for "getting it in" Im posting this as a line check and to generate discussion. It doesnt cover all the situations but I want to see if Im heading in the right direction with this. If Im way off on anything then flame way - all comments welcome. AK Equity vs Villans Range (A) AA,KK - 20% (4-1 odds Required to call) (B) AA,KK,QQ,AK - 40% (1.5-1 odds required to call) (C) JJ+,AQs+,AQo+ - 50% (Even money call) (D) Any Pair, Any Broadway - 60% (fistpump call regardless) Villan Shoves Over Your 3-Bet For a rough indication I used the following examples. Villan makes 4bb raise and hero makes it 12bb 150bb Stacks - 138bb to win 162bb (1.17-1) 100bb Stacks - 88bb to win 112bb (1.3-1) 80bb Stacks - 68bb to win 92bb (1.35-1) 60bb Stacks - 48bb to win 72bb (1.5-1) 40bb Stacks - 28bb to win 52bb (1.85-1) 20bb Stacks - 8bb to win 32bb (4-1) Against Range "A" Fold unless against a super shorty giving 4-1. Against Range "B" Fold unless the pot gives a 1.5-1 (minimum) overlay. If its close tend to fold since most villans range will be "weighted" towards AA,KK rather AQ etc. Against Range "C" Against this range its a basic flip. Fold only if the stacks are very large and losing will cause tilt. Against Range "D" Call and be prepared. Keep In Mind - The odds above are for indication only, each situation will be different. - Being suited matters only a few %. It adds 2-4% of equity to AK. - If its multiway exersise more caution since the villan may have a tigher range, also the other players may have a monster. - If its bet and 3-bet before it gets to you fold AK, unless your against two manics. - When in doubt (having considered all factors) for meduim-large stacks folding is usually fine. Constant flipping for stacks can be frustrating. |
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