3bet 78s flop brings MPSK - What now? NL50

[hennnerz]

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $57.90
UTG+1: $15.45
Hero: $62.20
Button: $43.40
SB: $43.15
BB: $88.25

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $4.5</font>, Hero calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($9.25, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $3</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $9</font>, BB calls.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($27.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero ....?

Villain is 36/17/1.2

[AceofSpades]

pretty standard check behind and hit two pair on river. without a read of weakness

[Waingro]

Check behind, fold river unless he bets very small. Also, why did you raise the flop, particulary that sized raise?

[Ramana]

lol wtf are you doing. I know your image and he wont believe you much. If you like spewing you can bet turn, but it's probably a very bad idea, as is the flop raise btw. I like the pf call, but then putting so much money in with a losing hand agaisnt a guy who doesn't like to fold sucks.

[hennnerz]

Yep. Should have raised flop for more, maybe $11.

I am raising because its a donk bet into me on the flop, which generally is weak, hence the raise should push him off a hand that missed the flop.

I check behind. River comes Ac and he bets $4 into the $27 pot.

[hennnerz]

[ QUOTE ]
lol wtf are you doing. I know your image and he wont believe you much. If you like spewing you can bet turn, but it's probably a very bad idea, as is the flop raise btw. I like the pf call, but then putting so much money in with a losing hand agaisnt a guy who doesn't like to fold sucks.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would be surprised if he has taken my image into account at all during this hand. He likes to call so this means we must bet our edges. I believed on this flop my MP was ahead of his range, thus I raised...

[Ramana]

What do you think his range is? I'd like to see a calculation. Also, I don't think that we should think of his flop bet as very weak, maybe he's just too stupid to make proper bets in relation to the pot and 3$ seems like much to him. I've seen many donks bet that way with acceptable hands.

[hennnerz]

Hands that beat me that are in his range for near-min 3betting pre then donk betting flop like that:

AQ, JJ, TT, 99

Others that I am ahead of:

AK, AKs

Obviously my flop raise represents TP. His range for calling the raise is apparently the same as betting the flop though.

[mvdgaag]

If we check behind I think he will bet river with anything and we cannot fold or it would mean we give up as soon as he calls our raise on this flop...
Than why raise this flop? : I think we cannot make a profit on FE alone here unless we also bet (bluff) the turn. We'll probably make him throw away a heartdraw, JJ-, KQ, maybe even AQ sometimes.

[hennnerz]

His AF is really low. I doubt he bets river just because someone checked behind on turn.